PROSPECTS OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, THE NECESSITY OF REVIEW IN POPULATION POLICIES

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MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD; MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD; MOTI HAGHSHENAS NADER

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Journal: WOMEN'S STRATEGIC STUDIES (KETABE ZANAN) Year:2012 | Volume:14 | Issue:55 Page(s): 151-172

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Title

PROSPECTS OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, THE NECESSITY OF REVIEW IN POPULATION POLICIES

Author(s)

MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD | MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD | MOTI HAGHSHENAS NADER | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

POPULATION PROJECTIONQ2

GROWTH SCENARIOSQ2

POPULATION POLICYQ2

LOW FERTILITYQ2

REPLACEMENT LEVELQ2

Abstract

In this paper we examine changes occurred in Iran's population regarding evaluation of United Nations POPULATION PROJECTIONs during 1900-2006. In order to adapt United Nations POPULATION PROJECTIONs on the basis of Iran's condition, population studies and research center using census data in 2006 as base year, have evaluated United Nations POPULATION PROJECTION of Iran. The projection is on the basis of continuing current situation (low scenario of United Nations POPULATION PROJECTION that has been according to current trend and pattern of declining fertility) and the trend of suitable increasing in Iran's fertility level during 40 years ahead to 2 children for per mother. Findings indicate that if the Iran's population growth follows gradual or slow one, country's population will reach 97 million in 1425 and the population growth will be positive. However, If Iran experience suitable trend of total fertility rate partly more than REPLACEMENT LEVEL, we will never encounter continues growth of population, it can be also say that, growth rate of population will be lower than current growth rate and the age structure will have appropriate balance.

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APA: Copy

MOSHFEGH, MAHMOUD, MAHMOUDI, MOHAMMAD JAVAD, & MOTI HAGHSHENAS, NADER. (2012). PROSPECTS OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, THE NECESSITY OF REVIEW IN POPULATION POLICIES. WOMEN'S STRATEGIC STUDIES (KETABE ZANAN), 14(55), 151-172. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/93998/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD, MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD, MOTI HAGHSHENAS NADER. PROSPECTS OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, THE NECESSITY OF REVIEW IN POPULATION POLICIES. WOMEN'S STRATEGIC STUDIES (KETABE ZANAN)[Internet]. 2012;14(55):151-172. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/93998/en

IEEE: Copy

MAHMOUD MOSHFEGH, MOHAMMAD JAVAD MAHMOUDI, and NADER MOTI HAGHSHENAS, “PROSPECTS OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, THE NECESSITY OF REVIEW IN POPULATION POLICIES,” WOMEN'S STRATEGIC STUDIES (KETABE ZANAN), vol. 14, no. 55, pp. 151–172, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/93998/en

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