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Information Journal Paper

Title

RECENT CRUDE OIL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: MAKING STRUCTURAL MODELS

Pages

  52-64

Abstract

 The recent oil market conditions, have confronted analysts with serious challenges in their efforts to analyze OIL PRICE trends and the reasons behind them. They have, so far, addressed the issue on the basis of structural changes, periodical behavior and speculation. The roots of those challenges, in their view, are embedded in the influential development of fundamental elements on the price of oil. OPEC's oil production in the 1990s, is a case in point, which materialized the organization's price objectives very effectively. The organization, however, has lost its price controlling mechanisms and capabilities in recent years. The relationship of crude OIL PRICEs and commercial stock pilings has also reversed. This study reviews changes in the fundamental factors on the basis of econometric models. According to results, OPEC's excess or surplus production capacity in recent years (post 2003) has affected the relationship of oil stock pilings and prices. OPEC's surplus production capacity had no impact on OIL PRICEs prior to 2003, when it began to demonstrate its influence. Thus, OPEC which set its members' production quotas in light of stockpiling levels, in its pursuit of price objectives, is presently influencing the oil market with its excess capacity.Therefore, through its quota setting mechanism, OPEC is facing two opposing effects of the changing stock-levels and the surplus capacity, and currently the role of the second is superiora.

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  • Cite

    APA: Copy

    ZAMANI, MEHRZAD. (2007). RECENT CRUDE OIL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: MAKING STRUCTURAL MODELS. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, 4(12), 52-64. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99478/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    ZAMANI MEHRZAD. RECENT CRUDE OIL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: MAKING STRUCTURAL MODELS. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW[Internet]. 2007;4(12):52-64. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99478/en

    IEEE: Copy

    MEHRZAD ZAMANI, “RECENT CRUDE OIL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: MAKING STRUCTURAL MODELS,” ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, vol. 4, no. 12, pp. 52–64, 2007, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99478/en

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