Socio-hydrology Modeling with Changing Community Preferences in the Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin

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RAHNAMA BEHZAD; Najafi Tokhoshkeh Nilufar; Nasiri Saleh Farzin; KOOSHESHI MAJID; Rafiei Atani Reza

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Journal of Water Resources Engineering Year:2022 | Volume:14 | Issue:51 Page(s): 1-19

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Title

Socio-hydrology Modeling with Changing Community Preferences in the Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin

Author(s)

Keywords

Socio-hydrology

Community sensitivity variable

behavioralresponse

Tashk-Bakhtegan basin

Abstract

Introduction: Agricultural development upstream of Tashk and Bakhtegan lakes along with droughts of the 2000s, has led to a sharp decline in the water surface of the lakes. This study demonstrates the potential of social-hydrology modeling to describe coupled human-water systems with simple concepts and relationships. Methods: The focus of this study is on the development of a Sociohydrological conceptual model in order to simulate the interactions between community response and hydrology in the TashkBakhtegan basin. For the social submodel, the variables of community sensitivity and behavioral response are used, and for the hydrological submodel, the developed water balance model for the arid and semi-arid basins is used. Due to the vastness of the basin and the various features in different regions, it has been hypothesized that changes in human preferences and community sensitivities for upstream and downstream residents of the basin may be different. The time range of this research is from 1996 to 2013. Findings: The selection of factors affecting the community sensitivity was an acceptable choice, because of considering the average error less than 10% in the simulation of cultivated areas. The results of hydrological submodel by considering two soil layers with the the calculated cultivated area as an input, showed the acceptable accuracy of the model in the ability to simulate streamflow in the Tashk-Bakhtegan basin. Conclusion: The results showed that in the basin upstream areas, which has more rainfall and water resources, the community's perception of the threat to their quality of life is low and the priority of its residents is tendency to use more water and land resources. But in the downstream areas, with environmental issues and scarcity of water resources, people with a high sense of threat to their quality of life have shifted their priority to less use of water and land resources.

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APA: Copy

RAHNAMA, BEHZAD, Najafi Tokhoshkeh, Nilufar, Nasiri Saleh, Farzin, KOOSHESHI, MAJID, & Rafiei Atani, Reza. (2022). Socio-hydrology Modeling with Changing Community Preferences in the Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin. WATER ENGINEERING, 14(51 ), 1-19. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/1000703/en

Vancouver: Copy

RAHNAMA BEHZAD, Najafi Tokhoshkeh Nilufar, Nasiri Saleh Farzin, KOOSHESHI MAJID, Rafiei Atani Reza. Socio-hydrology Modeling with Changing Community Preferences in the Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin. WATER ENGINEERING[Internet]. 2022;14(51 ):1-19. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/1000703/en

IEEE: Copy

BEHZAD RAHNAMA, Nilufar Najafi Tokhoshkeh, Farzin Nasiri Saleh, MAJID KOOSHESHI, and Reza Rafiei Atani, “Socio-hydrology Modeling with Changing Community Preferences in the Tashk-Bakhtegan Basin,” WATER ENGINEERING, vol. 14, no. 51 , pp. 1–19, 2022, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/1000703/en

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