The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment inagricultural Sector

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MANGALI HODA; GOLESTANI SHAHRAM

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ISSN: 2588-4824

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Paper Information

Journal: Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research Year:2016 | Volume:46-2 | Issue:4 Page(s): 687-695

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Title

The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment inagricultural Sector

Author(s)

MANGALI HODA | GOLESTANI SHAHRAM | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Oil Price VolatilityQ2

Private InvestmentQ3

agriculture sectorQ2

Abstract

The main objective of the present study is to investigate the effect of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment in the agricultural sector. To do this, the annual data of the period 1961-2011 is used. First, the volatility index of oil prices is estimated through the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and the interactive correlations of the model variables is determined using vector Error Correction model(VECM). Then the long-run correlations between the variables are specified using Johansson's cointegration method. The results indicate that Oil Price Volatility, which is the main objective of the present study, has a negative impact on Private Investment in the long term. In the long term, each unit increase in the volatility of oil prices (with the assumption of stability of other explanatory variables of the model)would cause 0. 93units of negative impact on agriculture sector.

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APA: Copy

MANGALI, HODA, & GOLESTANI, SHAHRAM. (2016). The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment inagricultural Sector. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 46-2(4 ), 687-695. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/146456/en

Vancouver: Copy

MANGALI HODA, GOLESTANI SHAHRAM. The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment inagricultural Sector. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2016;46-2(4 ):687-695. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/146456/en

IEEE: Copy

HODA MANGALI, and SHAHRAM GOLESTANI, “The Effects of Oil Price Volatility on Private Investment inagricultural Sector,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 46-2, no. 4 , pp. 687–695, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/146456/en

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