HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GAVEHRUD WATERSHED AS AFFECTED BY THE PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY

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YAGHOUBI BEHROUZ; HOSSEINI SEYED ABBAS; Nazif Sara

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Journal: Journal of Water Resources Engineering Year:2017 | Volume:10 | Issue:32 Page(s): 71-85

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Title

HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GAVEHRUD WATERSHED AS AFFECTED BY THE PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY

Author(s)

YAGHOUBI BEHROUZ | HOSSEINI SEYED ABBAS | Nazif Sara | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CLIMATE CHANGEQ1

TEMPERATUREQ1

RAINFALLQ2

RUNOFFQ1

HADCM3 GCMQ1

GAVEHRUDQ1

Abstract

The latest investigations have demonstrated the CLIMATE CHANGE is definitely happening. As the CLIMATE CHANGE strongly impacts the global TEMPERATURE and RAINFALL, and their variabilities, it highly affects water resources, thus the environment, as well as agricultural and industrial activities. In this study, the CLIMATE CHANGE impacts on the GAVEHRUD basin RUNOFF during the 2016-2099 periods was investigated using the outputs of the HADCM3 GCM model under the A2 scenario. The SDSM (statistical downscaling model) was used for the statistical downscaling of TEMPERATURE and RAINFALL. For simulation of the future RUNOFF using the downscaled data, HYMOD model was used. The HYMOD was calibrated using the DREAM model for considering its parameters uncertainty. The SDSM results indicated a considerable change in TEMPERATURE and RAINFALL, in the future as compared with the historical time horizon of 1989-2000. The mean TEMPERATURE increase in the future would be about 5% to 8.5%, while the mean RAINFALL decrease would be about 3% to 5%. The results of this study indicated that a 5% to 23% decrease in the future average RUNOFF in comparison to the historical values.

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APA: Copy

YAGHOUBI, BEHROUZ, HOSSEINI, SEYED ABBAS, & Nazif, Sara. (2017). HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GAVEHRUD WATERSHED AS AFFECTED BY THE PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY. WATER ENGINEERING, 10(32), 71-85. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/169659/en

Vancouver: Copy

YAGHOUBI BEHROUZ, HOSSEINI SEYED ABBAS, Nazif Sara. HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GAVEHRUD WATERSHED AS AFFECTED BY THE PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY. WATER ENGINEERING[Internet]. 2017;10(32):71-85. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/169659/en

IEEE: Copy

BEHROUZ YAGHOUBI, SEYED ABBAS HOSSEINI, and Sara Nazif, “HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GAVEHRUD WATERSHED AS AFFECTED BY THE PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY,” WATER ENGINEERING, vol. 10, no. 32, pp. 71–85, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/169659/en

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