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Information Journal Paper

Title

PREDICTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON MONTHLY RIVER DISCHARGE TREND USING IHACRES HYDROLOGICAL MODEL (CASE STUDY: GALIKESH WATERSHED)

Pages

  19-34

Abstract

CLIMATE CHANGE causes changes in temperature and rainfall and consequently affects RIVER DISCHARGE. Changes in rainfall can be simulated by global circulation models under different climatic scenarios but investigations of changes in RIVER DISCHARGE require rainfall-runoff models. The Galikesh basin as one of most flood-prone basins in Gloestan Province is considered for determination of changes in RIVER DISCHARGE under CLIMATE CHANGE effect. Temperature and rainfall is produced for future climatic period (2011-2030) based on global circulation model HADCM3, using LARS-WG data generator model. The produced data under different climatic scenario are used as inputs of calibrated IHACRES model to simulate RIVER DISCHARGE for future climatic periods. The CLIMATE CHANGE analysis shows that under different scenarios in the study area air temperature in different months increases, but the annual precipitation decreases. The MANN-KENDALL TEST is used to detect monotonic trend of seasonal and semiannual RIVER DISCHARGE series. The results show no trend for spring and first half of the year and a negative trend for other seasons and second half series in 5 percent significance level.

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    Cite

    APA: Copy

    GHORBANI, KH., SOHRABIAN, E., SALARIJAZI, M., & ABDOLHOSSEINI, M.. (2016). PREDICTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON MONTHLY RIVER DISCHARGE TREND USING IHACRES HYDROLOGICAL MODEL (CASE STUDY: GALIKESH WATERSHED). JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL RESOURCES CONSERVATION, 5(4), 19-34. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/232125/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    GHORBANI KH., SOHRABIAN E., SALARIJAZI M., ABDOLHOSSEINI M.. PREDICTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON MONTHLY RIVER DISCHARGE TREND USING IHACRES HYDROLOGICAL MODEL (CASE STUDY: GALIKESH WATERSHED). JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL RESOURCES CONSERVATION[Internet]. 2016;5(4):19-34. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/232125/en

    IEEE: Copy

    KH. GHORBANI, E. SOHRABIAN, M. SALARIJAZI, and M. ABDOLHOSSEINI, “PREDICTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON MONTHLY RIVER DISCHARGE TREND USING IHACRES HYDROLOGICAL MODEL (CASE STUDY: GALIKESH WATERSHED),” JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL RESOURCES CONSERVATION, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 19–34, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/232125/en

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