Performance comparison of Geomod and LCM models to predict land use changes (case study: Abughovair plain, Ilam province)

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HEIDARIZADI Z.; MOHAMMADIAN BEHBAHANI A.

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Journal: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF RANGE AND DESERT RESEARCH Year:2019 | Volume:26 | Issue:3 (76) Page(s): 660-674

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Performance comparison of Geomod and LCM models to predict land use changes (case study: Abughovair plain, Ilam province)

Author(s)

HEIDARIZADI Z. | MOHAMMADIAN BEHBAHANI A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MLP methodQ1

Markov chainQ1

LandsatQ2

land useQ1

predictionQ1

Abstract

Protecting an ecosystem and conserving natural resources requires knowledge of the conditions and land-use changes. The purpose of this study was to monitor land-use changes in the past and evaluate the performance of GEOMOD and LCM models in simulating land-use changes in order to select a more appropriate model for predicting land-use changes in the future. Landsat satellite images were used during the periods of 1990, 2003, and 2016 and land-use changes were monitored by using these images. The simulation of land use status by the LCM model for 2016 was done using the maps of the years 1990 and 2003. Using MLP and Markov chain, the land use map was simulated for 2016. To run the GEOMOD model, the image of the single-user map of 2003 and 2016 were used and the map of "appropriateness of changes" was made by the use of variables affecting land-use change and they were introduced into the model. The results of the accuracy of the simulation map of 2016 showed that LCM and GEOMOD had Kappa coefficients of 81% and 71%, respectively. Therefore, the LCM model was chosen as the most appropriate model and the map of the year 2029 was predicted and prepared.

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APA: Copy

HEIDARIZADI, Z., & MOHAMMADIAN BEHBAHANI, A.. (2019). Performance comparison of Geomod and LCM models to predict land use changes (case study: Abughovair plain, Ilam province). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF RANGE AND DESERT RESEARCH, 26(3 (76) ), 660-674. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/375888/en

Vancouver: Copy

HEIDARIZADI Z., MOHAMMADIAN BEHBAHANI A.. Performance comparison of Geomod and LCM models to predict land use changes (case study: Abughovair plain, Ilam province). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF RANGE AND DESERT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2019;26(3 (76) ):660-674. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/375888/en

IEEE: Copy

Z. HEIDARIZADI, and A. MOHAMMADIAN BEHBAHANI, “Performance comparison of Geomod and LCM models to predict land use changes (case study: Abughovair plain, Ilam province),” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF RANGE AND DESERT RESEARCH, vol. 26, no. 3 (76) , pp. 660–674, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/375888/en

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