Vulnerability of Farmers in Bakhtegan Basin Before and After Drought: Econometric Approach

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Nasrnia fatemeh; Zebaei mansour; Bakhshodeh Mohammad

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Paper Information

Journal: AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL) Year:2018 | Volume:12 | Issue:3 Page(s): 45-69

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Title

Vulnerability of Farmers in Bakhtegan Basin Before and After Drought: Econometric Approach

Author(s)

Nasrnia fatemeh | Zebaei mansour | Bakhshodeh Mohammad | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Vulnerability Before Drought

Vulnerability After Drought

Bakhtegan Basin

Abstract

Drought is one of the major threats among natural hazards to people’ s livelihoods and socio-economic development. In other words, drought events and their consequences pose a considerable problem for governments, business and individuals. Some regions such as Fars province are more prone to drought disasters and each region differs in its capacity to effectively prepare for and respond to the effects of drought. Therefore, the number of people affected by drought and the types of impacts experienced will be different by region. The risk associated with drought for any region is a product of the exposure to the natural hazard and the vulnerability of the society to the event. Consequently, planners and policy makers in drought prone region should conduct risk assessment. Therefore, the aim of this study is to measure ex-ante and ex-post drought vulnerability of farmers in Bakhtegan Basin. A sample of 276 farmers was selected for interview and collection of necessary farm level data for two years. The results also indicated that if crops are the sole income source and have no consumption smoothing capability at all, over 37% of sampled farmers are vulnerable to drought. But 28. 62% of sampled farmers would be vulnerable if they can rely on both crops and off-farm income. Therefore, it can be concluded that the inclusion of off-farm earnings in the income measure, reduces the number of vulnerable households. It is important to recognize that based on the results obtained from econometric method, there are four groups of farmers: 1) ex-ante vulnerable and ex-post vulnerable, 2) ex-ante resilient and ex-post vulnerable, 3) ex-ante vulnerable and ex-post resilient, 4) ex-ante resilient and ex-post resilient. The findings of this study can help policy makers to lessen farmers’ vulnerability to drought by promoting planning and the adoption of appropriate risk management strategies.

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APA: Copy

Nasrnia, fatemeh, Zebaei, mansour, & Bakhshodeh, Mohammad. (2018). Vulnerability of Farmers in Bakhtegan Basin Before and After Drought: Econometric Approach. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), 12(3 ), 45-69. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/741010/en

Vancouver: Copy

Nasrnia fatemeh, Zebaei mansour, Bakhshodeh Mohammad. Vulnerability of Farmers in Bakhtegan Basin Before and After Drought: Econometric Approach. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL)[Internet]. 2018;12(3 ):45-69. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/741010/en

IEEE: Copy

fatemeh Nasrnia, mansour Zebaei, and Mohammad Bakhshodeh, “Vulnerability of Farmers in Bakhtegan Basin Before and After Drought: Econometric Approach,” AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), vol. 12, no. 3 , pp. 45–69, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/741010/en

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