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Information Journal Paper

Title

ESTIMATE OF TIMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS EXPORT AND IMPORT TREND IN IRAN

Pages

  73-83

Abstract

 Timber and wood products are affected on the country economical because the products do improve surplus value and employment. Review is showed that their competitive powers are lower than foreign products but manufacture order is successful. Therefore, the basic of questions as fallow: how TIMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS export and import are TREND? Since, the research methodologies are analytic and approximate and forecasting methods (for example; TREND and REGRESSION FORMULAtion) were used to establish. The result of; Orders forecasting data are reliable even with height MAPE, because MAD, bias and coefficient of determination are appropriate in here. TREND method is more careful than others. Some orders exports and imports will increase TREND for example; exports and imports totality and timber order. Probability, the products imports totality will over 200 million and exports totality will over 14 million USA dollar in next years (latter of 2008). Some products (for example; particle board order imports) TREND by dollar and kg. amount are conflict, probability, because the products price are oscillate and these weight amounts are decreasing and these products tariff change to depreciate tariff. The products trade will flourish in next decade because some orders exports and imports as favorable TREND will increase. Negative effects (on the employment and surplus value) related to products imports increase will dissolve by afforest and massive material (timber, log) imports increase.

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    APA: Copy

    BAYAT KASHKOULI, A., RAFIGHI, A., AZIZI, MAJID, AMIRI, S., & KABOURANI, A.R.. (2008). ESTIMATE OF TIMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS EXPORT AND IMPORT TREND IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES, 15(1 (SPECIAL ISSUE ON NATURAL RESOURCES)), 73-83. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/9302/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    BAYAT KASHKOULI A., RAFIGHI A., AZIZI MAJID, AMIRI S., KABOURANI A.R.. ESTIMATE OF TIMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS EXPORT AND IMPORT TREND IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES[Internet]. 2008;15(1 (SPECIAL ISSUE ON NATURAL RESOURCES)):73-83. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/9302/en

    IEEE: Copy

    A. BAYAT KASHKOULI, A. RAFIGHI, MAJID AZIZI, S. AMIRI, and A.R. KABOURANI, “ESTIMATE OF TIMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS EXPORT AND IMPORT TREND IN IRAN,” JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES, vol. 15, no. 1 (SPECIAL ISSUE ON NATURAL RESOURCES), pp. 73–83, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/9302/en

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