JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES
Year:2015 | Volume:2 | Issue:8|Papers Count:7

The objective of resistive economy overall policies is creating appropriate environment for Iran’s economy movement on a sustainable growth path. Planning based resistive economy require to be dealt with Any disruptive factor for sustainable growth and plan strategies to be chosen so that minimize risks and uncertainties relevant to achieve to its goals. Survey about performance of Iran’s economy show that moreover, low mean of performance key variables, Iran’s economy has high volatilities. The base of low performance and its volatility return to two main factors, namely inappropriate economy policies and so impulses derived external sanctions. The common mode of the factors, namely inappropriate economy policies and impulses derive in how use of oil resources. Dependence on government revenue and so foreign exchange earnings to oil revenues and its crude sale is the main problem of Iran and until a solution isn’t found for that, unsustainability in Iran’s economy will continue. The purpose of this study was to find a long-term solution to reduce dependence on oil revenues in 6th development plan or use of resistive economy strategies. Regarding to world oil outlook, use of oil in sectors such as transportation, industry especially petrochemical, household/ commercial/ agriculture consumptions and power generation instead of crude oil sale, can be resolve the problem.

Prevention of crime is one the basic strategies in social control area. Although global experience in different policy areas of social crimes management is provided, and several theorists in the field provide theories, but in Iran, yet the lack of a comprehensive policy in this area is felt more than ever. In the years after the Glorious Islamic Revolution domination of political economical and security in the field of social harms has been caused to horrible absences of macro-social perspective in detection, management and control of social crimes in the planning, implementation and judicial fields. The present paper is an attempt to take advantage of library and documentary study while reviewing the status of social crimes and the resulting problems in the country, weaknesses and vagueness of this research will also be examined. At the end of this attempt with Utilizing a comprehensive ecological model and theoretical approaches in the field of literature and the experience of similar programs in Iran and the World, appropriate strategies and programs to identify and manage social crimes are given.

The aim of dis study is forecasting needful liquidity automatic teller machines (ATM) with two linear model and non Linear. Providing financial resources at ATM machines, since it is important that is necessary to keep activity ATM to provide cash into applicant and security cash in machine. Results of Such analysis make it possible to can be necessary prediction for providing financial resources of ATM such as intelligent and maintain it active during peak demand hours. The statistical case of the research consisted of 7 ATMS of Economic Mehr Bank in Khorasan Razavi during the years 1386-1389. In this study, determining amount of cash taking from ATM using nonlinear method of artificial neural networks with multi-layer perception structure and error back propagation algorithm and linear method of ARIMA is examined to choose an optimal model. Demand of cash taking from date 1386/4 till 1389/7 (40 months) as training data and from the Aban data of 1389 till the end of Esfand 1389 is intended as Test data. The finding results indicate mastery artificial neural networks model to ARIMA model in predict needed cash of an ATM from economic Mehr bank.

Oil is one of the most important sources of income for oil-exporting countries and the main raw material in the production process. Oil price shocks can cause instability in macroeconomic variables, such as valueadded agriculture and industry in the Iran that is part of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. This research examines the effects of symmetric and asymmetric oil shocks on the value added agriculture as the part that is mostly governed by the private sector, and Value added of industry as the part that is mostly governed by the Government sector. In this regard, the first oil shocks by nonlinear GARCH model extracted then use the VECM to examine the effects of positive and negative shocks on the value added of the agriculture and industry sectors to be paid. The results shows that the effects of oil shocks on the agricultural and industry value added have an asymmetric effects and industry value added is more than agriculture value added effected by positive oil shocks.

Increasing the share of industry in GDP and increasing the value added of industry are the important objectives of the general policies in the industrial sector. Fiscal and monetary policies are the major economic policies, and they play a significant role in economic growth and development. Given the importance of the industrial sector of the Iranian economy and the importance of adopting appropriate fiscal and monetary policies, this research investigates the impact of these policies on value added of industrial sector in Iran. To this end, we used the annual data over the period 1979-2010 and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The results show that the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on value added of industrial sector is positive and statistically significant in the short-run. In the long-run, monetary policy has a negative and significant effect on value added of industrial sector. In contrast, the impact of tax revenues as an alternative variable of fiscal policy on value added of industry is positive and significant, which can indicate that the tax revenues have been influenced by the activities of the industry. Moreover, government expenditures has no significant effect on value added of industrial sector in the long-run, indicating that the government expenditures has not been complementary to the investments of industrial sector and had no significant effect on industry value added because of the existence of the crowding out effects and different forms of government expenditure financing.

Today, tourism has become one of the most important economic sectors in many countries and governments have used various policies to develop tourism and its subsectors at different scales from local to national level. In the past decades especially since 1990s, experts and planners continuously have focused on the importance of rural tourism development due to the recession of agriculture sector and problems facing to the rural societies. In this regard, Iran With the plenty of attractions in rural areas can exploit from this great potential to improve itself economic situation. Therefore, this paper pays the general situation of rural tourism in Iran, and in particular with using of the quality and quantity steps (QSPM) in SWOT technique to determine the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats for rural tourism development of Iran especially for Dlfard. The method used in this research is survey and field studies method (130 samples from the tourists and residents population). This research able to present the appropriate strategies for Dalfard tourism development and because many villages in Iran are similar Dalfard in view of natural, cultural, social and economic features, we can generalize its results to others. The results indicate that the strength points of this region are over the weaknesses, so we hope to develop tourism in this region by application of the proposed approach. Favorable macro strategy proposed by this research is competitive strategy (with a total score of internal and external factors: 36.2 and 51.2). Also the result of quantity matrix is the third sub-strategy (with a score of 55.7) that focus on combining of the active participation of government to strengthen the private sector and NGOs.

Iran's foreign policy in a particular moment has a reproduction of the earlier sediments and bitter past and attempts to adopt a discourse of opposition with power centers. Most of the bitter legacies of legitimacy and fairness cannot be easily passed through; it is a few historical facts to be verified. However, over-reliance on the earlier sediments that mistrust and institutionalized reciprocity does not an appropriate approach in all the time and cannot gain the country's national interests in the field of complex global policy network. On the other hand, a foreign policy that fade or hidden behind the values and ideas of the Islamic Revolution cannot be accepted. Present global geopolitical system is a system based on a highly competitive and is based intrusion coordinates and geographical locations where detailed knowledge in order to gain hegemony in the transnational level is very important. Lived experience and history of Iran has shown that this country can recognize the profound geopolitical position and coordinates its way back to its authority as a major power and can be avoid from geopolitical challenges and the consequences of its isolation. This paper with descriptive-analytical methodology. Reviews and examines the discourses of Iran’s foreign policy and attempt to confirm the hypothesis that moderate discourse on foreign policy is one of the most profitable approaches for the country that has remarkable geopolitical weight in regional and global position.