Sustainability Outlook of Domestic and Agricultural Demand of Doosti Dam Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Impact of Salma Dam

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Nazari Mejdar H.; MORIDI A.; YAZDI J.; Khazaee Pool A.

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Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2019 | Volume:15 | Issue:3 Page(s): 17-32

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Title

Sustainability Outlook of Domestic and Agricultural Demand of Doosti Dam Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Impact of Salma Dam

Author(s)

Nazari Mejdar H. | MORIDI A. | YAZDI J. | Khazaee Pool A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Doosti River BasinQ1

Transboundary RiverQ1

Climate ChangeQ2

SWAT-WEAP CouplingQ1

Abstract

Harirud River is one of the main sources of water in the northeastern regions of Iran and the south of Turkmenistan. Harirud is a provider of drinking and agricultural demand for a large number of people and regarded as one of the concerns of the two countries in terms of water sustainability. The planning and management of water resources in the transboundary basin because of missing or lack of access to weather information and hydrology in the riparian countries is stressful. In this paper, by coupling the SWAT hydrologic model and WEAP water resource planning and management model, we have tried to study the effect of upstream development as well as Climate Change on water inputs from the Harirud Transboundary River to Iran and Turkmenistan. The years 1955 to 1996 considered for calibration and the period from 1997 to 2016 to validate the SWAT model. The R2 and NS numbers were 0. 66 and 0. 65 for the calibration period, 0. 7, and 0. 72 for the calibration period, respectively. Most areas of the Doosti basin will face a rise in temperature (about 1. 5 to 3. 8 degrees) and precipitation decline, especially in upstream mountainous regions. Based on the results of the operation of the Salma Dam and RCP 8. 5 Climate Change scenario, the reliability and sustainability of agricultural water supply in Iran and Turkmenistan will reduce to less than 3%. Changing the climate pattern will face the challenge of meeting the environmental needs of downstream of Doosti and Salma dams. This trouble reveals the necessity of hydro policy between the riparian countries. If the current condition continues in this way, water shortage in Sarakhs becomes the primary social challenge in the northeast of Iran.

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APA: Copy

Nazari Mejdar, H., MORIDI, A., YAZDI, J., & Khazaee Pool, A.. (2019). Sustainability Outlook of Domestic and Agricultural Demand of Doosti Dam Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Impact of Salma Dam. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 15(3 ), 17-32. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/100387/en

Vancouver: Copy

Nazari Mejdar H., MORIDI A., YAZDI J., Khazaee Pool A.. Sustainability Outlook of Domestic and Agricultural Demand of Doosti Dam Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Impact of Salma Dam. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2019;15(3 ):17-32. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/100387/en

IEEE: Copy

H. Nazari Mejdar, A. MORIDI, J. YAZDI, and A. Khazaee Pool, “Sustainability Outlook of Domestic and Agricultural Demand of Doosti Dam Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Impact of Salma Dam,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 15, no. 3 , pp. 17–32, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/100387/en

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