IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS OF THE FUTURE STUDIES ON THE EFFECTS OF SIRVAN RIVER WATER TRANSFER (THE GARMSIRI PROJECT) ON THE LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES (CASE STUDY: MEHRAN COUNTY-ILAM PROVINCE)

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ALIBEYGI J.; JALALIAN H.; AZIZPOUR F.; MAHDIZADEH H.

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Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2018 | Volume:14 | Issue:3 Page(s): 118-132

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Title

IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS OF THE FUTURE STUDIES ON THE EFFECTS OF SIRVAN RIVER WATER TRANSFER (THE GARMSIRI PROJECT) ON THE LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES (CASE STUDY: MEHRAN COUNTY-ILAM PROVINCE)

Author(s)

ALIBEYGI J. | JALALIAN H. | AZIZPOUR F. | MAHDIZADEH H. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FUTURE STUDIESQ1

KEY FACTORSQ1

LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGESQ1

EFFECTIVE DRIVERSQ1

MEHRAN COUNTYQ1

SCENARIOQ1

Abstract

The main purpose of SCENARIO as a tool for planning is to increase the efficiency and quality of planning in respets to the uncertainty of the future. One of the practical strategies in this field is to identify the KEY FACTORS of the FUTURE STUDIES. The present study dealt with the effects of water transfer from Sirvan River to tropical areas of MEHRAN COUNTY in Ilam province (as part of the Garmsiri Project). The research is categorized as practical in terms of purpose, as combinational (documentary and scrolling methods) in terms of methodology, and as analytical and explorative in terms of its nature. The study is based on new approaches to FUTURE STUDIES which use a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of this research, Delphi methods and structural analysis has been used. The researchers tried to provide a model for identifying the KEY FACTORS affecting the spatial-temporal changes in a regional scale, as well as a ground for developing SCENARIOs for the future of locational-spatial evolutions due to the implementation of the water transfer system. The data of this research consisted of 30 factors that Delphi methodology used to collect the views of the planning experts active in county’ s development and water affairs. The data were analyzed with the help of MicMac software which finally presented 13 factors of LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES as mass media, population and migration, employment creation, investment security, income developments, demand and sales market, productivity, rural infrastructure, border security, cultivation area, agricultural machinery, production capacity, new settlements, and improvement of the physical texture of villages. The probable state of these factors was formulated for the horizon of 1408 (Iranian Calendar) which is, ten years after the full implementation of the Garmsiri water transfer system.

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APA: Copy

ALIBEYGI, J., JALALIAN, H., AZIZPOUR, F., & MAHDIZADEH, H.. (2018). IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS OF THE FUTURE STUDIES ON THE EFFECTS OF SIRVAN RIVER WATER TRANSFER (THE GARMSIRI PROJECT) ON THE LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES (CASE STUDY: MEHRAN COUNTY-ILAM PROVINCE). IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 14(3 ), 118-132. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/100431/en

Vancouver: Copy

ALIBEYGI J., JALALIAN H., AZIZPOUR F., MAHDIZADEH H.. IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS OF THE FUTURE STUDIES ON THE EFFECTS OF SIRVAN RIVER WATER TRANSFER (THE GARMSIRI PROJECT) ON THE LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES (CASE STUDY: MEHRAN COUNTY-ILAM PROVINCE). IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;14(3 ):118-132. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/100431/en

IEEE: Copy

J. ALIBEYGI, H. JALALIAN, F. AZIZPOUR, and H. MAHDIZADEH, “IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS OF THE FUTURE STUDIES ON THE EFFECTS OF SIRVAN RIVER WATER TRANSFER (THE GARMSIRI PROJECT) ON THE LOCATIONAL-SPATIAL CHANGES (CASE STUDY: MEHRAN COUNTY-ILAM PROVINCE),” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 14, no. 3 , pp. 118–132, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/100431/en

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