MODELING FOREST AREAS DECREASES, USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION (CASE STUDY: CHEHL-CHAY CATCHMENT, GOLESTAN PROVINCE)

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BAGHERI REZA; SHATAEI JOUYBARI SH.

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Journal: Iranian journal of Forest Year:2010 | Volume:2 | Issue:3 Page(s): 243-252

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Title

MODELING FOREST AREAS DECREASES, USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION (CASE STUDY: CHEHL-CHAY CATCHMENT, GOLESTAN PROVINCE)

Author(s)

BAGHERI REZA | SHATAEI JOUYBARI SH. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MODELINGQ2

FOREST EXTENT DECREASINGQ3

TMQ2

LISS IIIQ3

LOGISTIC REGRESSIONQ2

Abstract

Knowledge of forest extent during past decades is necessary for future planning. This research was done in order to determinate the distribution and rate of deforestation from 1987 to 2006 and possibility of modelling the changes extent and its relation to physiographic and some human factors by using LOGISTIC REGRESSION in the Chehl-Chay catchment, Golestan province. After geometric correction on TM image, the forest extent map of 1987 was generated using maximum likelihood classification. In addition, forest extent map in 2006 was generated using merged LISS III images with panchromatic image of SPOT-HRG and maximum likelihood classification. Deforestation map was produced through crossing the two maps. Spatial relation of deforestation was investigated by LOGISTIC REGRESSION using slope, aspect and elevation physiographic factors along with distance from road and village's population. The results showed that about 2400 ha from forest areas were deforested in the 19 years. The results of deforestation MODELING by LOGISTIC REGRESSION showed a relative agreement of the predicted model and occurred forest extent changes map with a Pseudo R2 of 0.114 and ROC coefficient equal to 0.72 in the region. According to results slope and distance from road and village variables were in contrary of deforestation expanding. This factor was increased with increasing in elevation and around populated villages.

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APA: Copy

BAGHERI, REZA, & SHATAEI JOUYBARI, SH.. (2010). MODELING FOREST AREAS DECREASES, USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION (CASE STUDY: CHEHL-CHAY CATCHMENT, GOLESTAN PROVINCE). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST, 2(3), 243-252. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/123243/en

Vancouver: Copy

BAGHERI REZA, SHATAEI JOUYBARI SH.. MODELING FOREST AREAS DECREASES, USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION (CASE STUDY: CHEHL-CHAY CATCHMENT, GOLESTAN PROVINCE). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST[Internet]. 2010;2(3):243-252. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/123243/en

IEEE: Copy

REZA BAGHERI, and SH. SHATAEI JOUYBARI, “MODELING FOREST AREAS DECREASES, USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION (CASE STUDY: CHEHL-CHAY CATCHMENT, GOLESTAN PROVINCE),” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 243–252, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/123243/en

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