The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Food Inflation in Iran: An Application of Structural Vector Error Correction Model

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GHAHREMANZADEH MOHAMMAD; PISHBAHAR ESMAEIL; KHALILI MALEK SHAH SAMANE

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Paper Information

Journal: Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research Year:2017 | Volume:47-2 | Issue:4 Page(s): 773-784

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Title

The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Food Inflation in Iran: An Application of Structural Vector Error Correction Model

Author(s)

GHAHREMANZADEH MOHAMMAD | PISHBAHAR ESMAEIL | KHALILI MALEK SHAH SAMANE | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Food InflationQ1

Macroeconomic VariablesQ1

Structural Vector Error Correction ModelQ1

Abstract

Food prices are interested by policymakers due to its vital roles for food security. On the other hand, Agriculture and food prices, like other economic sectors, will be affected by macroeconomic policies. Hence, governments usually use fiscal and monetary policies to control Food Inflation. The purpose of this study is investigating the effect of macroeconomic factors on food prices in Iran. In fact, this article looks for answering this question that which of the Macroeconomic Variables effects Food Inflation. Therefore, Structural Vector Error Correction Model (SVECM) is utilized for period of 1978-2011. The results showed that in short-term, Food Inflation has significant and positive effect on Food Inflation and value-added has significantly negative effect. In long-term, agricultural value-added has negative and significant effect on Food Inflation and money supply has significantly positive effect. In fact, Food Inflation shock increases Food Inflation in short-term (0. 0206). Also, rising agriculture value-added causes decreasing Food Inflation in short and long terms as 0. 0186 and 0. 0149, respectively. Also, money supply increases Food Inflation in long term as 0. 0723.

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APA: Copy

GHAHREMANZADEH, MOHAMMAD, PISHBAHAR, ESMAEIL, & KHALILI MALEK SHAH, SAMANE. (2017). The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Food Inflation in Iran: An Application of Structural Vector Error Correction Model. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 47(4 ), 773-784. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/146320/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHAHREMANZADEH MOHAMMAD, PISHBAHAR ESMAEIL, KHALILI MALEK SHAH SAMANE. The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Food Inflation in Iran: An Application of Structural Vector Error Correction Model. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2017;47(4 ):773-784. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/146320/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD GHAHREMANZADEH, ESMAEIL PISHBAHAR, and SAMANE KHALILI MALEK SHAH, “The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Food Inflation in Iran: An Application of Structural Vector Error Correction Model,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICUTURAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 47, no. 4 , pp. 773–784, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/146320/en

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