FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR VERY SHORT RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING BASED ON IRAN’S DATA OF SYNOPTIC STATIONS

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MOSHKI MOHSEN; KABIRI PEYMAN; MOHEBALHOJEH ALI REZA

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Journal: SIGNAL AND DATA PROCESSING Year:2013 | Volume:- | Issue:2 (SERIAL 20) Page(s): 3-20

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Title

FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR VERY SHORT RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING BASED ON IRAN’S DATA OF SYNOPTIC STATIONS

Author(s)

MOSHKI MOHSEN | KABIRI PEYMAN | MOHEBALHOJEH ALI REZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CHAOTIC SYSTEMQ2

SHORT-RANGE FORECASTINGQ2

NON-NUMERICAL FORECASTINGQ1

FEATURE SELECTIONQ1

REGRESSIONQ2

SYNOPTIC STATIONQ2

Abstract

Atmosphere is a CHAOTIC SYSTEM and all climatic processes in this system have high order complexity. A massive volume of climatic data is collecting daily in SYNOPTIC STATIONs of the country. This paper is a feasibility study of using these aboriginal data for short time weather forecasting. A framework is proposed that is based on a set of mappings from current weather state to 3 hours future state. In a part of paper, feasibility of 3 hourly forecasting for Hamedan based on current state of Hamedan and its 9 neighbor stations is studied. Mapping from current state to future state needs to selecting more important describetive parameters among all candidate parameters and using a REGRESSIONer for mapping to future state. Exprimental results show big gap between the precision of forecasts based on the data of SYNOPTIC STATIONs and the precision of the forcasts produced by operational forecasting systems. Shortcomings of model may be one of the reasons of this gap, but it seems that the main reason is the lack of essential data in higher layers of atmosphere and low spatial resolution of used data.

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APA: Copy

MOSHKI, MOHSEN, KABIRI, PEYMAN, & MOHEBALHOJEH, ALI REZA. (2013). FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR VERY SHORT RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING BASED ON IRAN’S DATA OF SYNOPTIC STATIONS. SIGNAL AND DATA PROCESSING, -(2 (SERIAL 20)), 3-20. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/160819/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOSHKI MOHSEN, KABIRI PEYMAN, MOHEBALHOJEH ALI REZA. FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR VERY SHORT RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING BASED ON IRAN’S DATA OF SYNOPTIC STATIONS. SIGNAL AND DATA PROCESSING[Internet]. 2013;-(2 (SERIAL 20)):3-20. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/160819/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN MOSHKI, PEYMAN KABIRI, and ALI REZA MOHEBALHOJEH, “FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR VERY SHORT RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING BASED ON IRAN’S DATA OF SYNOPTIC STATIONS,” SIGNAL AND DATA PROCESSING, vol. -, no. 2 (SERIAL 20), pp. 3–20, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/160819/en

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