A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR POWER GENERATION EXPANSION PLANNING IN IRAN

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TAGHPOUR REZVAN A.R.; SEYFI ABAS

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AMIRKABIR (AMIRKABIR) Year:2009 | Volume:41 | Issue:1 Page(s): 87-98

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Information Journal Paper

Title

A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR POWER GENERATION EXPANSION PLANNING IN IRAN

Author(s)

TAGHPOUR REZVAN A.R. | SEYFI ABAS | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CAPACITY EXPANSION PLANNINGQ3

POWER INDSTRYQ3

POWER GENERATIONQ3

STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMINGQ3

SYSTEM DYNAMICQ3

Abstract

In this paper, by developing a mixed integer STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING model, total cost of construction of new POWER GENERATION capacity using various technologies and the cost of generating electricity during a planning horizon is minimized. The demand is considered uncertain in this model and is assumed to follow three possible scenarios. In this study, the country is divided to several regions and the investment decisions are taken for each region in an integrated model. Furthermore, a learning mechanism of technologies is considered in the model, so the cost of investment in technologies will decrease as installed capacity of each technology is increasing. Finally, in order to analyze the output of optimization model, by developing a SYSTEM DYNAMIC model, the impacts of the proposed plan on some power industry indicators such as cost and profit is shown with respect to each demand scenario. The resulting capacity expansion plan consists of various POWER GENERATION technologies among which gas turbine power plant constitutes the biggest part of the expansion plan. Other technologies such as hydro, combined cycle, nuclear, geothermal and wind power plants exist in the expansion plan.

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APA: Copy

TAGHPOUR REZVAN, A.R., & SEYFI, ABAS. (2009). A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR POWER GENERATION EXPANSION PLANNING IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AMIRKABIR (AMIRKABIR), 41(1), 87-98. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/165912/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAGHPOUR REZVAN A.R., SEYFI ABAS. A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR POWER GENERATION EXPANSION PLANNING IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AMIRKABIR (AMIRKABIR)[Internet]. 2009;41(1):87-98. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/165912/en

IEEE: Copy

A.R. TAGHPOUR REZVAN, and ABAS SEYFI, “A STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR POWER GENERATION EXPANSION PLANNING IN IRAN,” JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AMIRKABIR (AMIRKABIR), vol. 41, no. 1, pp. 87–98, 2009, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/165912/en

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