RESERVOIR EVAPORATION TREND ANALYSIS AND ITS PREDICTION USING TIME SERIES

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BAHMANI R.; RADMANESH F.; ESLAMIAN S.; PARHAM GH.A.

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ISSN: 2588-4824

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Journal: Journal of Irrigation Sciences and Engineering Year:2013 | Volume:36 | Issue:3 Page(s): 67-80

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Title

RESERVOIR EVAPORATION TREND ANALYSIS AND ITS PREDICTION USING TIME SERIES

Author(s)

BAHMANI R. | RADMANESH F. | ESLAMIAN S. | PARHAM GH.A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TIME SERIESQ2

SEASONAL MANN-KENDAL TESTQ2

SARIMAQ2

AUTOCORRELATIONQ2

EVAPORATIONQ2

Abstract

Evaporation is one of the important factors in water loss from dam reservoirs. Therefore, the accurate prediction highly helps the reservoir planning and optimum water usage. In this study, using the recorded pan data the EVAPORATION trend is determinded by SEASONAL MANN-KENDAL TEST, then the reservoir EVAPORATION is predicted by the TIME SERIES analysis. After determining the stationary situation of data, the models SARIMA (0, 0, 1) × (2, 0, 2) 12, SARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (1, 1, 1) 12 and SARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 2) 12 are fund to be suitable for stations Behbahan, Dez and Pay-pol respectively. The results show that due to the data limitation and the predominat assumptions in TIME SERIES method, these models are reliable for the short term prediction.

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APA: Copy

BAHMANI, R., RADMANESH, F., ESLAMIAN, S., & PARHAM, GH.A.. (2013). RESERVOIR EVAPORATION TREND ANALYSIS AND ITS PREDICTION USING TIME SERIES. IRRIGATION SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (JISE) (SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE), 36(3), 67-80. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/217056/en

Vancouver: Copy

BAHMANI R., RADMANESH F., ESLAMIAN S., PARHAM GH.A.. RESERVOIR EVAPORATION TREND ANALYSIS AND ITS PREDICTION USING TIME SERIES. IRRIGATION SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (JISE) (SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE)[Internet]. 2013;36(3):67-80. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/217056/en

IEEE: Copy

R. BAHMANI, F. RADMANESH, S. ESLAMIAN, and GH.A. PARHAM, “RESERVOIR EVAPORATION TREND ANALYSIS AND ITS PREDICTION USING TIME SERIES,” IRRIGATION SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (JISE) (SCIENTIFIC JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE), vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 67–80, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/217056/en

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