MODELING, ASSESSMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDE UNCERTAINTIES IN LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF POWER MARKETS

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KHORRAM E.; SEIFI H.; SHEIKH EL ESLAMI M.K.

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Journal: NASHRIYYAH -I MUHANDISI -I BARQ VA MUHANDISI -I KAMPYUTAR -I IRAN, A- MUHANDISI -I BARQ Year:2014 | Volume:12 | Issue:2 Page(s): 73-86

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Title

MODELING, ASSESSMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDE UNCERTAINTIES IN LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF POWER MARKETS

Author(s)

KHORRAM E. | SEIFI H. | SHEIKH EL ESLAMI M.K. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

POWER MARKET DYNAMICSQ2

GENERATION AVAILABILITY UNCERTAINTYQ2

HYDRO AND WIND GENERATION UNCERTAINTYQ2

LOAD UNCERTAINTYQ2

Abstract

In this paper, the long-term dynamics of an electricity market is modeled, considering the LOAD UNCERTAINTY. Moreover, the generation side uncertainties, including the uncertainties of the generators availabilities, the hydro generations and the wind generations are observed. The problem is analyzed by the System Dynamics (SD) method. Also, the effects of capacity payment on POWER MARKET DYNAMICS, with and without uncertainties, are modeled and analyzed. The simulation results show how the uncertainties may affect the long-term behavior of a power market. Moreover, it is shown how the effect of uncertainties on market dynamics, may be improved through capacity payment.

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References

ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF A POWER MARKET DUE TO BOUNDED RATIONALITY OF INVESTORS DECISIONS UNDER DIFFERENT MARKET DESIGNS

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APA: Copy

KHORRAM, E., SEIFI, H., & SHEIKH EL ESLAMI, M.K.. (2014). MODELING, ASSESSMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDE UNCERTAINTIES IN LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF POWER MARKETS. NASHRIYYAH -I MUHANDISI -I BARQ VA MUHANDISI -I KAMPYUTAR -I IRAN, A- MUHANDISI -I BARQ, 12(2), 73-86. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/228123/en

Vancouver: Copy

KHORRAM E., SEIFI H., SHEIKH EL ESLAMI M.K.. MODELING, ASSESSMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDE UNCERTAINTIES IN LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF POWER MARKETS. NASHRIYYAH -I MUHANDISI -I BARQ VA MUHANDISI -I KAMPYUTAR -I IRAN, A- MUHANDISI -I BARQ[Internet]. 2014;12(2):73-86. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/228123/en

IEEE: Copy

E. KHORRAM, H. SEIFI, and M.K. SHEIKH EL ESLAMI, “MODELING, ASSESSMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDE UNCERTAINTIES IN LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF POWER MARKETS,” NASHRIYYAH -I MUHANDISI -I BARQ VA MUHANDISI -I KAMPYUTAR -I IRAN, A- MUHANDISI -I BARQ, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 73–86, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/228123/en

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