ESTIMATING AGRICULTURAL GRADUATED NEEDED BY THE PUBLIC SECTOR, BY 2010

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ZAMANI GH.H.

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Journal: Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Year:2001 | Volume:9 | Issue:3(35) Page(s): 177-196

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Title

ESTIMATING AGRICULTURAL GRADUATED NEEDED BY THE PUBLIC SECTOR, BY 2010

Author(s)

ZAMANI GH.H. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

EMPLOYMENT AT GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENTSQ4

AGRICULTURAL EXPERTQ2

AGRICULTURAL COLLGE GRADUATESQ3

SPECIALIZED HUMAN RESOURCEQ4

SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR HUMAN RESOURCESQ4

Abstract

Agricultural development needs highly qualified human resources.Meanwhile, puplic and private agricultural colleges have educated and supplied a great number of graduates who cannot find suitable jobs for themselves. This phenomena is believed to turn into a serious social problem in the coming decades. This research project was designed to provide information needed by decision makers to cope with the issue.This descriptive research aimed to estimate agricultural graduates needed by all agricultural departments up to year 2010. Extrapolation and Delphi techniques were used for estimation; and, the survery technique through a valid questionnaire provided the required data.The statistical population consisted all 57 organiztions of Jahad Sazandegy, and Agriculture offices in all provinces (before the recent merge of the two ministries)The results showed that in the last 11 years only 6845 graduates had been employed. The extrapolation with 3 scenarios (pesimistic, normal and optimistic) indicated that 6503, 6845, and 7187 graduates, respectively, are needed for the next decade. But, Delphi technique (reflecting employers point of view) for the same scenarios revealed that, respectively, 10985, 11563, and 12141 graduates are required for agricultural departments, in the nation-wide. To test the phenomena of the difference between "need" and "demand", the exact demand was calculated, which showed at most 3125 graduates are likely to be hired by 2010. Since, there is a very limitted chance for agricultural graduates in public services, it is recomended that universities prepare students for self-employment as well as for working for private sector in agriculture.

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ارایه چارچوب نظری در خصوص برآورد نیروی انسانی

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APA: Copy

ZAMANI, GH.H.. (2001). ESTIMATING AGRICULTURAL GRADUATED NEEDED BY THE PUBLIC SECTOR, BY 2010. EQTESAD-E KESHAVARZI VA TOWSE'E, 9(3(35)), 177-196. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/24270/en

Vancouver: Copy

ZAMANI GH.H.. ESTIMATING AGRICULTURAL GRADUATED NEEDED BY THE PUBLIC SECTOR, BY 2010. EQTESAD-E KESHAVARZI VA TOWSE'E[Internet]. 2001;9(3(35)):177-196. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/24270/en

IEEE: Copy

GH.H. ZAMANI, “ESTIMATING AGRICULTURAL GRADUATED NEEDED BY THE PUBLIC SECTOR, BY 2010,” EQTESAD-E KESHAVARZI VA TOWSE'E, vol. 9, no. 3(35), pp. 177–196, 2001, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/24270/en

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