Developing a Regional Model for Estimating Flood Mortality Regarding the Evacuation Time (Case Study: Kan Watershed)

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AMIRMORADI KIMIA; SHOKOOHI ALIREZA

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Soil and Water Research Year:2020 | Volume:51 | Issue:7 Page(s): 1823-1839

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Title

Developing a Regional Model for Estimating Flood Mortality Regarding the Evacuation Time (Case Study: Kan Watershed)

Author(s)

AMIRMORADI KIMIA | SHOKOOHI ALIREZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Flood Human FatalitiesQ1

RiskQ2

MortalityQ1

Regional ModelQ1

Evacuation TimeQ1

Abstract

Floods are one of the most important natural hazards causing many serious destruction and fatalities, especially in Iran. Despite recognizing the high number of fatalities due to floods, especially in recent years, there is not an acceptable/reliable model for Mortality estimation. The few presented models, that are intrinsicly valuable, are not enough for achieving the goals. The Regional Model presented in this paper employs hydraulic properties of floods and geometric characteristics of rivers for Mortality estimation while considering the effect of available Evacuation Time in flood-prone areas. Based on the presented algorithm, the product of two hydraulic parameters: depth and flow velocity, presented in a raster format, are required for Mortality simulation. An exponential function was developed based on the relationship between the depth, velocity, and the number of observed fatalities in the corresponding floods. The model, employing the length and slope of the main channel as the two geomorphologic parameters of the river directly related to the flow hydraulics, is capable of considering the available time for the people at Risk to evacuate the region. Finally, the developed model’ s efficacy and accuracy were confirmed by comparing the results of the model with historical records and with that of the global/Regional Models.

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APA: Copy

AMIRMORADI, KIMIA, & SHOKOOHI, ALIREZA. (2020). Developing a Regional Model for Estimating Flood Mortality Regarding the Evacuation Time (Case Study: Kan Watershed). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF SOIL AND WATER RESEARCH, 51(7 ), 1823-1839. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/406757/en

Vancouver: Copy

AMIRMORADI KIMIA, SHOKOOHI ALIREZA. Developing a Regional Model for Estimating Flood Mortality Regarding the Evacuation Time (Case Study: Kan Watershed). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF SOIL AND WATER RESEARCH[Internet]. 2020;51(7 ):1823-1839. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/406757/en

IEEE: Copy

KIMIA AMIRMORADI, and ALIREZA SHOKOOHI, “Developing a Regional Model for Estimating Flood Mortality Regarding the Evacuation Time (Case Study: Kan Watershed),” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF SOIL AND WATER RESEARCH, vol. 51, no. 7 , pp. 1823–1839, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/406757/en

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