A SYSTEM DYNAMIC APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS IN KARUN RIVER BASIN, IRAN

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ARSHADI M.; BAGHERI ALI

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Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2014 | Volume:9 | Issue:3 (28) Page(s): 1-13

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Title

A SYSTEM DYNAMIC APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS IN KARUN RIVER BASIN, IRAN

Author(s)

ARSHADI M. | BAGHERI ALI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SYSTEM VIABILITYQ2

SYSTEM DYNAMICSQ2

FOOD AND ENERGY SUPPLYQ2

WATER QUALITYQ2

KARUN RIVER BASINQ2

Abstract

The Great KARUN RIVER BASIN plays a vital role in the Iran’s food and Hydro-energy productions (78% and 13% in hydropower and food production, respectively). These put a high pressure on water recourses in this basin resulting in development projects on agricultural, industrial, and service sectors. In this situation, unsustainable development leads to increase in the basin vulnerability to external hazards. The present paper aims to demonstrate that in the real world we are not dealing with the vulnerability of a system to a hazard, but we need to address viability of a system focusing on three major domains of the system vision and mission; states; and processes or flows. In recent years one of the weakest rings in the Karoon River Basin water chain has been the issue of WATER QUALITY that raised itself as a big issue for the managers and experts, as it seriously influences the water allocation. The aim of this research was to assess the trends and reasons of vulnerability of the Great Karun Water System to hazards with an especial focus on WATER QUALITY as the main attribute of concern in the basin. SYSTEM DYNAMICS approach and the Vensim software have been adopted to simulate the water system in this research. The results showed that exterior hazards and scenarios have lower influence on WATER QUALITY in comparison with policies of the industrial, agricultural, and service sectors. This indicated that to reduce the vulnerability in the Great Karun water system it is essential to change the policies in food and energy production.

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APA: Copy

ARSHADI, M., & BAGHERI, ALI. (2014). A SYSTEM DYNAMIC APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS IN KARUN RIVER BASIN, IRAN. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 9(3 (28)), 1-13. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99862/en

Vancouver: Copy

ARSHADI M., BAGHERI ALI. A SYSTEM DYNAMIC APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS IN KARUN RIVER BASIN, IRAN. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2014;9(3 (28)):1-13. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99862/en

IEEE: Copy

M. ARSHADI, and ALI BAGHERI, “A SYSTEM DYNAMIC APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS IN KARUN RIVER BASIN, IRAN,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 9, no. 3 (28), pp. 1–13, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99862/en

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