IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON RISK INDICES IN RESERVOIR OPERATION

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

GANJI A.; KHALILI D.; HOMAYOUN FAR M.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2007 | Volume:2 | Issue:3 Page(s): 13-26

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

1,136

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON RISK INDICES IN RESERVOIR OPERATION

Author(s)

GANJI A. | KHALILI D. | HOMAYOUN FAR M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

RISKQ4

UNCERTAINTYQ4

RESERVOIR MANAGEMENTQ4

Abstract

As a result of system complexity and incomplete information, the planning process, the "with" and "without" conditions, the project's performance and impacts, and the benefits and costs are never certain. Accordingly, the valuation of UNCERTAINTY is a "must", even on the RISK indices as a sub set of UNCERTAINTY. This paper focuses on the effects of two main sources of UNCERTAINTY; i.e. data and parameter UNCERTAINTY, on the RISK indices in reservoir simulation and optimization. In reservoir simulation, the effects of uncertainties in simple/disaggregated time series models are studied on the well-known reservoir efficiency indices; i.e. volumetric and occurrence reliabilities. Two additional RISK indices; i.e. vulnerability and resilience are also studied. A stochastic dynamic programming model (DPR) is used to study the effects of data continuity UNCERTAINTY on reservoir operation rule. In this case the effects of data continuity UNCERTAINTY on two indices of Reliability and Losses have been evaluated. Two reservoirs under construction in Fars province, IRAN, have been selected for case study. The results show that the incorporation of UNCERTAINTY (i.e. data/parameter UNCERTAINTY) in simulation and optimization impact the RISK indices differently as the flow variability condition and reservoir storage and operation changes. These results can help the designer to select the appropriate RISK indices for reservoir operation.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

GANJI, A., KHALILI, D., & HOMAYOUN FAR, M.. (2007). IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON RISK INDICES IN RESERVOIR OPERATION. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2(3), 13-26. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99875/en

Vancouver: Copy

GANJI A., KHALILI D., HOMAYOUN FAR M.. IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON RISK INDICES IN RESERVOIR OPERATION. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2007;2(3):13-26. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99875/en

IEEE: Copy

A. GANJI, D. KHALILI, and M. HOMAYOUN FAR, “IMPACT OF UNCERTAINTY ON RISK INDICES IN RESERVOIR OPERATION,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 13–26, 2007, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99875/en

Related Journal Papers