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Author(s): 

Ranji Jafroudi Nima

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    4
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    131-151
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    1747
  • Downloads: 

    877
Abstract: 

در تدوین سیاست های کلی برنامه هفتم توسعه باید به استعدادهای منطقه و مشارکت های محلی توجه ویژه نمود. هدف پژوهش حاضر بررسی رویکرد آینده نگرانه مناسب در تدوین برنامه هفتم توسعه بوده و آن را مورد بررسی تحلیلی قرار داده و به همراه آن راهکار های لازم را ارائه می دهد. پژوهش حاضر بر اساس هدف، کاربردی و از منظر نحوه جمع آوری و تحلیل داده ها در حوزه مطالعات توصیفی است. مقاله حاضر با روشی کیفی ابتدا از طریق مطالعات کتابخانه ای و بررسی اسنادی به صورت نظری و با آسیب شناسی برنامه های توسعه ای به تبیین رویکرد مطلوب در برنامه هفتم توسعه پرداخته است.نتایج تحقیق نشان می دهد که رویکرد آینده نگرانه مناسب برنامه هفتم توسعه باید مبتنی بر قابلیتهای محلی مناطق در چهار چوب برنامه های ملی باشد و در این چرخه تمایزها و استعدادهای منطقه ای بصورت تفصیلی مورد توجه قرار گیرد.همچنین بایستی به منظور تامین عدالت مناطق و ایجاد فرصت برابر، دسترسی همگانی به خدمات و دستاوردهای توسعه و نیز در راستای اجرای سیاست های کلی اقتصاد مقاومتی و به منظور ایجاد تعادل و بهره مندی از امکانات مناطق و ارتقای توانایی در برابر انواع تهدیدات، توجه به توسعه منطقه ای مورد توجه ویژه قرار گیرد.:یافته های این پژوهش با بررسی رویکرد آینده نگرانه توسعه در ایران قدرت مطالعه را در راستای یافتن نتایج معنی دار و کمک به برنامه ریزان و سیاستگذراران برنامه هفتم توسعه افزایش داده و از تحلیل آنها با تکیه بر مستندات جمع بندی مناسبی ارائه می دهد .

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Journal: 

آفاق امنیت

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    0
  • Volume: 

    13
  • Issue: 

    48
  • Pages: 

    5-49
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    339
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

هشداردهی با نگاهی آینده نگرانه، اهمیتی ویژه و ضرورتی بنیادین در حوزه های اطلاعاتی امنیتی دارد تا با شناخت پیش دستانه از فرصت ها و تهدیدهای پیش رو، احتمال بروز آسیب، خطر، تهدید و بحران را روشن سازد و همین کارکرد متمایز اطلاعات در همه زمان ها در سطوح سه گانه راهبردی، عملیاتی و تاکتیکی است. حزم در متون دینی، نوعی دوراندیشی با بصیرت و هوشیاری همراه با آینده نگری است؛ که در کنار توجه به مولفه های مهم و مرتبط با بحث هشداردهی آینده نگرانه، تاکید بر احتیاط به عنوان شرطی عقلانی و نکته ای کلیدی شده است. ازاین رو می توان از امکان طرح آن در هشداردهی آینده نگرانه در حوزه های اطلاعاتی امنیتی سخن گفت. در بررسی های روایی در متون دینی، مولفه های بسیاری در مفهوم حزم قابل استنباط است؛ این مولفه ها ما را به این نتیجه رهنمون می سازد که می توان حزم را به عنوان رهیافتی دینی در موضوع هشداردهی آینده نگرانه در حوزه های اطلاعاتی امنیتی مطرح ساخت. حزم اطلاعاتی در یک تحلیل شامل پنج مولفه کلان است: «احتیاط و ظن ورزی خردمندانه»، «کیاست و زیرکی مدبرانه»، «مشورت طلبی و مشورت پذیری فعالانه»، «فرصت جویی آگاهانه» و نیز «بررسی و تصمیم شناختمند هوشیارانه». این نوشتار در بررسی اجمالی آینده نگاری، هشداردهی، حزم و مباحث مرتبط با آنها الگوی تحلیل خود را اسنادی مکتوب قرار داده و تکنیک تحلیل نیز توصیفی تحلیلی با روی آوردی تفسیری با نگاهی اجتهادی است.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2020
  • Volume: 

    50
  • Issue: 

    1 (91)
  • Pages: 

    387-401
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    556
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

With the apperance of cloud computing, users receive computing resources according to pay as you go of cloud service provider. An optimized scheduling approach for mapping all the tasks to the resources is an essential problem due to the limitations and dynamics of resources for requests which vary during the time. This solution may lead to improvement of system's efficiency. There are different methods for cloud computing scheduling with different parameters such as response time, makespan, waiting time, energy consumption, cost, utilization rate, and load balancing. But many of these methods are not suitable for improving scheduling performance in a condition that users requests change during the time. So in this thesis a scheduling method based on reinforcement learning is proposed. Adopting with environment conditions and responding to unsteady requests, reinforcement learning can cause a long-term increase in system's performance. The results show that this proposed method can not only reduce the response time and makespan but also increase resource efficiency as a minor goal. Our proposed illustrates improvements in response time for 49. 52%, 46. 03%, 43. 99%, 43. 53% and 38. 68% over Random, Mix, FIFO, Greedy and Q-sch algorithms, respectively.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2024
  • Volume: 

    12
  • Issue: 

    4
  • Pages: 

    29-42
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    49
  • Downloads: 

    12
Abstract: 

The purpose of this research is to identify and analyze the most likely scenario for the development of futsal in the country. The research is based on a prospective research approach, which is applied purpose and survey method. The statistical population includes all experts who have the knowledge and experience in championship and professional sports and futsal. Sampling is in the form of a snowball. 12 interviews conducted with experts. Various techniques and tools such as interviews, expert panels and questionnaires were used. Techniques such as Delphi technique, cross effects analysis, structural analysis, balance of mutual effects and Mic Mac and Scenario Wizard software were also used in data processing. 34 influential factors of futsal development in the country were identified. Using the analysis method (cross-effects) and Mic Mac software, the position of each factor in the obtained system was determined, and 8 drivers were identified as the most key future makers in the development of futsal , and by using them, the most likely basket The country's futsal development scenario was obtained, and in this basket of scenarios, all 8 drivers will occur in a disaster mode in a 10-year time horizon. The results of this research can be effective as a guide in estimating and forecasting the future of Iranian sports organizations that are related to futsal sports and show a path that will distance them from critical conditions and bring them closer to ideal conditions and lead to development. Quantitative and qualitative fields help a lot.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    12
  • Issue: 

    49
  • Pages: 

    188-200
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    2067
  • Downloads: 

    854
Abstract: 

مناطق آزاد از ابزارهای دولت ها برای تحقق راهبرد برونگرا در پارادایم جهانی شدن، از اصلیترین کانونهای توجه سرمایه گذاران محسوب میشود که از بدو تشکیل زمین مهمترین عامل در بین دیگر عوامل تولید مورد توجه می باشد و آنچه بعد از سپری شدن چندین دهه از تشکیل مناطق آزاد لازمه تغییر است تغییر رویکرد در برنامه ریزی در این نواحی لازم می باشد در پژوهش با رویکرد آینده نگاری به شناسایی مهمترین عوامل مؤثر، میزان و چگونگی تأثیرگذاری این عوامل بر یکدیگر و بر وضعیت آینده توسعه فضایی منطقه آزاد ارس می پردازد که در واقع زمینه تدوین سناریوها در مراحل بعدی و همچنین تدوین راهبردها، برنامه ریزی و سیاستگذاری برای رسیدن به سناریوهای مطلوب را فراهم میکند که از روش های دلفی و تحلیل اثرات متقاطع و نرم افزار میک مک به شناخت پیشران ها پرداخته است و از لحاظ روش توصیفی – تبینی و نتایج، کاربردی است در مرحله اول، 51 متغیر در قالب 4 عامل (اقتصادی، سیاسی و نهادی، اجتماعی و گردشگری و کالبدی و محیطی) ، شناسایی و از میان عوامل میزان تأثیرگذاری بر یکدیگر و بر آینده با روشهای مستقیم و غیرمستقیم، 13عامل کلیدی، جذب سرمایه، تحریم های بین المللی، توسعه دشت های کشاورزی و گلخانه ای، توسعه بخش صنعت، صادرات، قیمت زمین، توسعه شهری و روستایی، روابط دیپلماتیک با کشورهای حوزه قفقاز، رقابت منطقه ای با سایر مناطق آزاد، زیرساخت های گردشگری، رونق تجارت، تسهیل در واردات و مناقشه قره باغ و روند صلح، انتخاب، که بیشترین نقش را در توسعه فضایی آینده منطقه آزاد ارس، ایفا می نماید.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2024
  • Volume: 

    20
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    275-294
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    16
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

One of the new approaches to addressing the agricultural water challenge is governance, which plays a crucial role in influencing responsibility, participation, availability of information, transparency, and government effectiveness. Therefore, the current research was conducted with the aim of identifying and prioritizing the key drivers for the realization of local governance of agricultural water in the Qarachai watershed. The research method was descriptive-applied, and the statistical population consisted of specialists, experts, and key farmers in the region. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 24 individuals from the target community to identify the factors affecting the local governance of agricultural water. The propellant analysis technique was then used to identify the key drivers. Eight key areas were identified, highlighting their high importance for realizing local water governance in the agricultural sector. Based on the findings, governance in the studied region was found to be weak in terms of government effectiveness, transparency, the right to comment, accountability, and participation. As a result, recommendations to improve governance include enhancing the knowledge of users and beneficiaries, clarifying the duties and powers of water-related bodies, ensuring the accountability of trustee institutions in implementing water policies and programs, involving farmers in the enforcement of relevant laws, and creating a supportive environment for the activities of "people's institutions." These measures can be effective in realizing local governance in the study area.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    1
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    109-132
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    83
  • Downloads: 

    37
Abstract: 

Purpose: The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between the disclosure of prospective financial information and the volatility of stock returns of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange, as well as to investigate the effect of companies' good reputation on this relationship. Methodology: In order to achieve the goals of the research, two hypotheses have been developed that test the meaningfulness of the relationship between the disclosure of prospective financial information, the fluctuations of stock returns and good reputation in the companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Disclosure of prospective financial information was measured using content analysis method. The statistical method used to test the hypotheses presented in this research is the step-by-step regression analysis method, and the statistical sample of the research includes 120 companies in the years 2018 to 2022. Findings: The results of the analysis of the research hypotheses show that the disclosure of forward-looking financial information leads to a decrease in the volatility of stock returns of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Also, disclosure of forward-looking financial information by firms with higher reputations (as opposed to firms with lower reputations) has a greater effect on reducing stock return volatility. Originality: By analyzing the effect of forward-looking financial information on the volatility of stock returns, it expands previous research.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2022
  • Volume: 

    3
  • Issue: 

    1
  • Pages: 

    95-119
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    123
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Philosophy is a science that lays the theoretical foundations and affirmative foundations of other sciences, and the sciences formulate and establish their foundations based on philosophy. Futurism, as a new science, needs philosophical epistemological studies. The main question of the present study is that according to Mulla Sadra's philosophical ideas, the future will be based on which principles and what future and how the future will be determined? The purpose of this study is to know the future from Sadra's point of view on the future issue in order to take a step in producing indigenous futures studies knowledge. The research method in this research is a library that collects information by referring to first-hand and authentic works. The method of document analysis is done by the method of logical deductive reasoning by stating the premise, and studying the result from the said premise. This method is called the reasoning and rational method, which is useful for certainty and brings the researcher inner confidence. According to Sadra, the future-not its temporal meaning but its phenomenological examples-has a physical existence and will eventually be and will remain spiritual. On the other hand, as a philosopher, by accepting the principle of causality,Believes that there must be a connection between cause and effect,And the time of the material essence is the change of essence and modernity of identity or the amount of its modernity and restlessness and the fourth dimension of matter. Therefore, the disabled future is the causes that knowing the future requires understanding the complete cause of any phenomenon.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    4
  • Issue: 

    3
  • Pages: 

    79-119
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    59
  • Downloads: 

    10
Abstract: 

Philosophy of religion is a science that examines various issues of religion. Until now, the future of religion, as a new issue in this knowledge, has not been given much attention. On the other hand, investigating this new field (the future of religion) is an interdisciplinary study between the philosophy of religion and futurism. The main problem of this research is that the philosophy of religion in the eyes of two Islamic and Western thinkers, according to their view on the relationship between reason and faith, how can it answer the basic questions of religion in the future, for this purpose, a comparative-critical view between the view of Motahari’s and We took Plantinga’s. The research method is valid by referring to his works and scientific and research sources. Then, with the method of document analysis, due to its focus on relationships and analysis of causes, we rationally adapt Plantinga's and Motahari's views and criticize them. The results of this research show that both thinkers have weaknesses in their thought system and we have shown that there are already serious questions about the criterion of the authenticity of religion and there will be more in the future. that the solution depends on: 1- raising basic issues and trying to answer them, 2- reasonableness of belief, 3- moving towards dialogic theology, and 4- giving authenticity to the knowing subject; is.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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