Modeling the impact of the autonomous vehicles in residential land-use and population distribution

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Mahpour Alireza; Ebrahimzadeh Amin

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING Year:2021 | Volume:13 | Issue:1 Page(s): 1283-1297

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Modeling the impact of the autonomous vehicles in residential land-use and population distribution

Author(s)

Mahpour Alireza | Ebrahimzadeh Amin | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Autonomous Vehicle

population distribution

Land Price

residential land-use

Abstract

The goal of the concept of autonomous vehicles is rapidly becoming a reality. However, there has been very little analysis of the effects of such developments on urban transportation systems' performance. These effects are potentially problematic. Autonomous vehicles can increase road capacity, make driving more accessible to people, and reduce the burden of public and private transport travel and air pollution. On the negative side, it can distract users from walking and cycling, stimulate sporadic urban sprawl. This study considers the effects of autonomous vehicles on land use and population dispersion. The dynamic system model of balancing land uses by autonomous vehicles is designed to simulate these structures' behavior. The research focused mainly on residential land-use and population distribution due to using an autonomous vehicle. Three scenarios were defined to address the issue and investigate the effect of the autonomous vehicle on residential land-use and population distribution. Therefore, the presented dynamic system model with information related to the years 1393 to 1397 was created, and its status for 1398 up to 1430 was examined based on different scenarios. In this research, we will present a method based on dynamic systems analysis. We will use a dynamic systems analysis model for autonomous vehicles' effects on urban and suburban development. This model shows the changes in population movement from the city to the suburbs and vice versa.

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