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Information Journal Paper

Title

FITTING STATISTICAL MODELS TO THE DATA SET OF MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF GORGAN

Pages

  65-84

Abstract

 Change in climate is one of the common problems of the present human society and is considered a threat and a disaster for the world. Therefore to study and prediction of its elements, for the disaster management is extremely necessary. Due to importance of TEMPERATURE prediction as one of the most important climatic parameters, its study is necessary to manage the crisis and prediction of the weather condition. Based on information gathered for the last twenty years, a time-series model has been proposed to forecast the minimum and maximum TEMPERATUREs of Gorgan. Following the elimination of SEASONAL EFFECTs, TREND and irregular variations, an ARIMA model was presented. To ascertain the properties of the proposed model, residuals and errors were examined and the model coefficients were estimated. Using the obtained model, the minimum and maximum TEMPERATUREs from 1391 to 1393 were forecasted. Finally, it became clear that there will be an increase in the minimum and maximum TEMPERATUREs in the coming years.

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  • Cite

    APA: Copy

    YAGHMAIE, F., ABDOLLAH NEJAD, K., HEZARJARIBI, A., & BABANEZHAD, M.. (2013). FITTING STATISTICAL MODELS TO THE DATA SET OF MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF GORGAN. JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL CONSERVATION (JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES), 20(2), 65-84. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/156546/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    YAGHMAIE F., ABDOLLAH NEJAD K., HEZARJARIBI A., BABANEZHAD M.. FITTING STATISTICAL MODELS TO THE DATA SET OF MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF GORGAN. JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL CONSERVATION (JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES)[Internet]. 2013;20(2):65-84. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/156546/en

    IEEE: Copy

    F. YAGHMAIE, K. ABDOLLAH NEJAD, A. HEZARJARIBI, and M. BABANEZHAD, “FITTING STATISTICAL MODELS TO THE DATA SET OF MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF GORGAN,” JOURNAL OF WATER AND SOIL CONSERVATION (JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES), vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 65–84, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/156546/en

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