INTER-STRUCTURAL IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE MODELING, UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

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ZOLFAGHARI M.R.; PEYGHALEH E.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Paper Information

Journal: AMIRKABIR JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING (AMIRKABIR) Year:2010 | Volume:42 | Issue:2 Page(s): 11-19

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Information Journal Paper

Title

INTER-STRUCTURAL IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE MODELING, UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

Author(s)

ZOLFAGHARI M.R. | PEYGHALEH E. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKEQ3

INTER STRUCTURAL IGNITIONQ3

UNCERTAINTIES PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS METHODQ2

MODELINGQ3

MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONQ2

GISQ2

Abstract

This paper presents an analytical approach for probabilistic assessment of inter-structure fire following ignitions. In this method, unlike the conventional methods which are based on statistical ignition rate, various sources of ignitions and their associated uncertainties are taken into consideration. Using probabilistic algorithms, ignition probabilities for each source of ignition as well as overall ignition probabilities for each building are estimated. A GIS-based computer software are designed and implemented based on the proposed approach in order to estimate regional ignition probability. A scenario-based approach is used in this model in order to remove potential sources of probabilistic correlation. However, the model is capable of providing full probabilistic ignition results using a MONTE CARLO SIMULATION approach. Using the proposed model, the built environment data as well as seismotectonic of northern Iran are used in order to estimate preliminary ignition probabilities for district 3 in northeastern Tehran.

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APA: Copy

ZOLFAGHARI, M.R., & PEYGHALEH, E.. (2010). INTER-STRUCTURAL IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE MODELING, UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION. AMIRKABIR JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING (AMIRKABIR), 42(2), 11-19. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/165509/en

Vancouver: Copy

ZOLFAGHARI M.R., PEYGHALEH E.. INTER-STRUCTURAL IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE MODELING, UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION. AMIRKABIR JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING (AMIRKABIR)[Internet]. 2010;42(2):11-19. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/165509/en

IEEE: Copy

M.R. ZOLFAGHARI, and E. PEYGHALEH, “INTER-STRUCTURAL IGNITION FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE MODELING, UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION,” AMIRKABIR JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING (AMIRKABIR), vol. 42, no. 2, pp. 11–19, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/165509/en

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