Agent-based simulation of emergency evacuation of cities during terrorist attacks

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KHAZAEI SAFA

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Year:2019 | Volume:7 | Issue:2 Page(s): 195-221

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Title

Agent-based simulation of emergency evacuation of cities during terrorist attacks

Author(s)

KHAZAEI SAFA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

agent-based modeling and simulationQ1

emeregency evacuationQ1

terrorist attacksQ1

Abstract

In recent years, proper management of resource and timing for emergency evacuation of citizens from the site of terrorist attack has been widely considered by researchers in the field of urban planning. Little studies which have carried out on modeling the behavior of citizens and terrorists in urban environment generally focused on terrorist’ s behavior. Although different age groups show different abilities in emergencies rised by terrorist attack, in those studies, citizens are modeled in only one group of age. The main purpose of this study is to develope an agent-based model to simulate emergency evacuation due to terrorist attacks considering available infrastructure of a city. In order to evaluate the potential terrorist attack in a city, the behaviour of three groups of agents, including civilians, defense forces, and terrorists, are developed and simulated. In this regard, by examining different scenarios, it is possible to minimize the casualties caused by terrorist attack and rapid evacuation. To perform sensibility analysis and determine the most sensitive parameters, One-at-a-time method is hereby employed. NetLogo software is also used to develop and implement the proposed agent-based model. As a case study, the presented agent-based model has been implemented under various scenarios in district 6 of Tehran and the results have been analyzed. Based on the results of analyzing difference scenarios, it is possible to minimize the possibility of terrorist attack by increasing the number of defense forces. Another useful scenario is to allocate 60% of the defense forces to protect the busy and safe areas and 40% to search for and stop terrorist agents in the study area, the number of terrorist attacks and the number of deaths will cut in half.

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APA: Copy

KHAZAEI, SAFA. (2019). Agent-based simulation of emergency evacuation of cities during terrorist attacks. ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, 7(2 ), 195-221. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/230122/en

Vancouver: Copy

KHAZAEI SAFA. Agent-based simulation of emergency evacuation of cities during terrorist attacks. ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY[Internet]. 2019;7(2 ):195-221. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/230122/en

IEEE: Copy

SAFA KHAZAEI, “Agent-based simulation of emergency evacuation of cities during terrorist attacks,” ENGINEERING JOURNAL OF GEOSPATIAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, vol. 7, no. 2 , pp. 195–221, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/230122/en

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