THE STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVE FACTORS ON INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR IN IRAN (WITH EMPHASIS ON UNCERTAINTY)

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ROZEEI Z.; AKHONDZADEH T.; SAMEEI G.

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Journal: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS Year:2014 | Volume:6 | Issue:3 Page(s): 255-264

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Title

THE STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVE FACTORS ON INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR IN IRAN (WITH EMPHASIS ON UNCERTAINTY)

Author(s)

ROZEEI Z. | AKHONDZADEH T. | SAMEEI G. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTORQ2

UNCERTAINTY OF REAL EXCHANGE RATEQ2

UNCERTAINTY OF NOMINAL INTEREST RATEQ2

UNCERTAINTY OF INFLATION RATEQ2

GARCHQ2

ARDLQ2

Abstract

Making capital and investment is the main driving forces of economic development. Based on the investment sensitivity to the changes of some of macro-economic variables and risk and uncertainty, the present study evaluated the effective factors on INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR in Iran during 1980-2007. At first, the uncertainty variables of real informal exchange rate, nominal interest rate and inflation rate were calculated by GARCH model. Then, by ARDL model, the effect of calculated uncertainty indices besides the main values of the variables and some of the other control variables on INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR in Iran was investigated. The estimation results showed the negative uncertainty effect of the real exchange rate, inflation rate and nominal interest rate on INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR in short-term and long-term. Also, the gross domestic production and inflation rate had significant and positive and negative effect, respectively on INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR in Iran. In this model, there was no relationship between the size of civil expenditures of the government and real exchange rate with the private sector investment in our country. The error correction term coefficient showed that moderation to balance is done during more than 3 years.

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APA: Copy

ROZEEI, Z., AKHONDZADEH, T., & SAMEEI, G.. (2014). THE STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVE FACTORS ON INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR IN IRAN (WITH EMPHASIS ON UNCERTAINTY). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS, 6(3), 255-264. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/231702/en

Vancouver: Copy

ROZEEI Z., AKHONDZADEH T., SAMEEI G.. THE STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVE FACTORS ON INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR IN IRAN (WITH EMPHASIS ON UNCERTAINTY). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS[Internet]. 2014;6(3):255-264. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/231702/en

IEEE: Copy

Z. ROZEEI, T. AKHONDZADEH, and G. SAMEEI, “THE STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVE FACTORS ON INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE SECTOR IN IRAN (WITH EMPHASIS ON UNCERTAINTY),” INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL MATHEMATICS, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 255–264, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/231702/en

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