BOOTSTRAP PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR MORTALITY PROBABILITY OF IRAN

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TAVASOLI H.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF SCIENCE (KHARAZMI UNIVERSITY) Year:2012 | Volume:12 | Issue:1 Page(s): 281-294

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Information Journal Paper

Title

BOOTSTRAP PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR MORTALITY PROBABILITY OF IRAN

Author(s)

TAVASOLI H. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DYNAMIC LIFE TABLESQ2

LEEQ2

CARTER MODELQ2

SPATIAL STATISTICSQ3

VARIOGRAMQ2

PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAPQ2

SEMI PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAPQ2

Abstract

Mortality forecasts are nowadays widely used to create and modify retirement pension schemes, disability insurance systems and other social security programmers. Experience shows that static life tables overestimate death probabilities. The reason for this overestimation is that static life tables, through being computed for a specific period of time, cannot take into account the decreasing mortality trend over time. DYNAMIC LIFE TABLES overcome this problem by incorporating the influence of the calendar when graduating mortality.In this paper, we first apply the LEE-Carter model for estimation of mortality rate. Then, we use parametric and semi PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP prediction intervals for mortality trend. Finally, these methods are applied for analysis of mortality data of Iran.

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APA: Copy

TAVASOLI, H.. (2012). BOOTSTRAP PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR MORTALITY PROBABILITY OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF SCIENCE (KHARAZMI UNIVERSITY), 12(1), 281-294. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/44048/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAVASOLI H.. BOOTSTRAP PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR MORTALITY PROBABILITY OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF SCIENCE (KHARAZMI UNIVERSITY)[Internet]. 2012;12(1):281-294. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/44048/en

IEEE: Copy

H. TAVASOLI, “BOOTSTRAP PREDICTION INTERVALS FOR MORTALITY PROBABILITY OF IRAN,” JOURNAL OF SCIENCE (KHARAZMI UNIVERSITY), vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 281–294, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/44048/en

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