APPLYING SEMI-MARKOV MODELS FOR FORECASTING THE TRIPLE DIMENSIONS OF NEXT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES: WITH CASE STUDY IN IRAN AREA

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SADEGHIAN R.; JALALI NAEINI GH.R.; SAJADI JAFAR; HAMIDIFARD N.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: International Journal of Industrial Engineering & Production Research Year:2008 | Volume:19 | Issue:4 Page(s): 57-67

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Information Journal Paper

Title

APPLYING SEMI-MARKOV MODELS FOR FORECASTING THE TRIPLE DIMENSIONS OF NEXT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES: WITH CASE STUDY IN IRAN AREA

Author(s)

SADEGHIAN R. | JALALI NAEINI GH.R. | SAJADI JAFAR | HAMIDIFARD N. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SEMI-MARKOV MODEL

PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING MATRIX

FORECASTING ERROR

KARAKAISIS ZONING

Abstract

In this paper SEMI-MARKOV MODELs are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. SEMI-MARKOV MODELs can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. In SEMI-MARKOV MODELs each zone can be considered as a state of proposed SEMI-MARKOV MODEL. At first proposed SEMI-MARKOV MODEL is explained to forecast the three mentioned dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. Next, a zoning method is introduced and several algorithms for the validation of the proposed method are also described to obtain the errors of this method.

Cites

FORECASTING TIME AND PLACE OF EARTHQUAKES USING A SEMI-MARKOV MODEL (WITH CASE STUDY IN TEHRAN PROVINCE)

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APA: Copy

SADEGHIAN, R., JALALI NAEINI, GH.R., SAJADI, JAFAR, & HAMIDIFARD, N.. (2008). APPLYING SEMI-MARKOV MODELS FOR FORECASTING THE TRIPLE DIMENSIONS OF NEXT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES: WITH CASE STUDY IN IRAN AREA. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION RESEARCH (IJIE) (ENGLISH), 19(4), 57-67. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/562542/en

Vancouver: Copy

SADEGHIAN R., JALALI NAEINI GH.R., SAJADI JAFAR, HAMIDIFARD N.. APPLYING SEMI-MARKOV MODELS FOR FORECASTING THE TRIPLE DIMENSIONS OF NEXT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES: WITH CASE STUDY IN IRAN AREA. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION RESEARCH (IJIE) (ENGLISH)[Internet]. 2008;19(4):57-67. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/562542/en

IEEE: Copy

R. SADEGHIAN, GH.R. JALALI NAEINI, JAFAR SAJADI, and N. HAMIDIFARD, “APPLYING SEMI-MARKOV MODELS FOR FORECASTING THE TRIPLE DIMENSIONS OF NEXT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES: WITH CASE STUDY IN IRAN AREA,” INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION RESEARCH (IJIE) (ENGLISH), vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 57–67, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/562542/en

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