AFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF IRAN

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TORKAMANI J.

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Seminar Paper

Paper Information

Seminar: HAMAYESH MANTAGHEI KESHAVARZI, MEHVARE ROSHD VA TOWSE
Year:2008 | Issue:0

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Title

AFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF IRAN

Author(s)

TORKAMANI J.

Keywords

FISCAL POLICY

VAR

FISCAL SHOCK

AGRICULTURAL SECTOR

Abstract

THE MAIN OBJECTIVE OF THIS STUDY WAS TO INVESTIGATE THE EFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES OF GOVERNMENT ON SOME OF THE MAIN VARIABLES OF AGRICULTURAL SECTOR. VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE APPROACH AND JOHANSEN COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS WERE USED. TO STUDY THE IMPACTS OF GOVERNMENT FISCAL POLICIES OVER 1976-2005, GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE WAS USED AS A VARIABLE INDICATING THE GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL SECTOR, ESPECIALLY ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT OF THIS SECTOR.RESULT OF THE STUDY SHOWED THAT FISCAL POLICIES IN BOTH SHORT AND LONG RUN AFFECT VALUE ADDED AND INVESTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL SECTOR POSITIVELY AND STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT. WHILE THESE POLICIES AFFECT EXPORT OF AGRICULTURAL SECTOR POSITIVELY BUT THIS EFFECT IS CONSIDERABLE ONLY IN THE SHORT RUN.IN ORDER TO DETERMINE THE INFLUENCE TIME OF FISCAL SHOCK ON THE SELECTED VARIABLES, IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION WAS USED. FINDING OF THIS PART INDICATED THAT CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS OF AGRICULTURAL VARIABLES ARE REDUCED BY IMPOSING FISCAL SHOCKS OVER TIME.BASED ON THE VARIANCE DECOMPOSITIONS TECHNIQUE, IT WAS REVEALED THAT PREDICTION ERROR OF VALUE ADDED MAINLY RESULT FROM THIS VARIABLE ITSELF AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE CONTAINS A LOW SHARE IN PREDICTION ERROR OF VALUE ADDED. IN CASE OF INVESTMENT, EXCEPT FOR FIRST YEARS OF PREDICTION HORIZON, THE PREDICTION ERROR MAINLY CAUSED BY THIS VARIABLE ITSELF, IN OTHER YEARS GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE IS THE MAIN SOURCE OF PREDICTION ERROR OCCURRED IN INVESTMENT. LESS THAN ONE-THIRD PART OF EXPORT PREDICTION ERROR CAUSED BY THIS VARIABLE ITSELF. WHILE THE SHARE OF INVESTMENT IN PREDICTION ERROR OF EXPORT HAS BEEN INCREASED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE PREDICTION HORIZON.

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APA: Copy

TORKAMANI, J.. (2008). AFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF IRAN. HAMAYESH MANTAGHEI KESHAVARZI, MEHVARE ROSHD VA TOWSE. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/905613/en

Vancouver: Copy

TORKAMANI J.. AFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF IRAN. 2008. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/905613/en

IEEE: Copy

J. TORKAMANI, “AFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICIES ON VALUE ADDED, EXPORT AND INVESTMENT IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF IRAN,” presented at the HAMAYESH MANTAGHEI KESHAVARZI, MEHVARE ROSHD VA TOWSE. 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/905613/en

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