ON THE GROWTH AND STABILITY OF RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCE

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Shaukat Mughees; Alhabshi Datuk Othman

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Seminar Paper

Paper Information

Seminar: ANNUAL ISLAMIC BANKING CONFERENCE
Year:2015 | Issue:26

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Title

ON THE GROWTH AND STABILITY OF RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCE

Author(s)

Shaukat Mughees | Alhabshi Datuk Othman

Keywords

FINANCIAL FRAGILITY

FINANCIALIZATION

BLACK SWANS

ISLAMIC FINANCE

RISK-SHARING

INSTITUTIONAL AND INCENTIVE STRUCTURE

DYNAMIC HETEROGENEOUS PANEL TECHNIQUES

Abstract

EVIDENCE HAS BEEN MOUNTING THAT THE INTEREST-BASED DEBT FINANCING REGIME IS UNDER INCREASING DISTRESS. EVIDENCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT THE FINANCIAL CRISES, WHATEVER TITLE THEY CARRIED - EXCHANGE RATE CRISIS OR BANKING CRISIS– HAVE BEEN DEBT RELATED CRISES IN ESSENCE. AT PRESENT, DATA SUGGEST THAT THE DEBT-TO-GDP RATIO OF THE RICHEST MEMBERS OF THE G-20 IS EXPECTED TO REACH 120% MARK BY 2014. THERE IS ALSO EVIDENCE THAT OUT OF SECURITIES WORTH US$ 200 TRILLION IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY, NO LESS THAN THREE-FOURTH REPRESENT INTEREST-BASED DEBT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE HOW THIS MASSIVE DEBT VOLUME CAN BE VALIDATED BY THE UNDERLYING PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY. THIS PICTURE BECOMES MORE ALARMING CONSIDERING THE ANEMIC STATE OF GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH. THERE IS GREAT UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO INTEREST RATES.ALTHOUGH POLICY-DRIVEN INTEREST RATES ARE NEAR-ZERO LEVEL, THERE IS NO ASSURANCE THAT THEY WILL NOT RISE AS THE RISK AND INFLATION PREMIA BECOME SIGNIFICANT. HENCE, A MORE SERIOUS FINANCIAL CRISIS MAY BE IN THE OFFING AND A GENERAL COLLAPSE OF ASSET PRICES MAY OCCUR. THIS PAPER ARGUES THAT THE SURVIVAL OF THE INTEREST-BASED DEBT REGIME IS BECOMING LESS TENABLE, AS IS THE PROCESS OF FINANCIALIZATION THAT HAS ACCOMPANIED THE GROWTH OF GLOBAL FINANCE OVER THE LAST FOUR DECADES. THE ABOVE HAS RESULTED IN AN UNPRECEDENTED INCREASE IN ECONOMIC RISKS; GENERATING (ADVERSE) NON-LINEARITIES IN SYSTEM‘S BEHAVIOR. SUCH A BEHAVIOR IS NOTHING BUT A DEMONSTRATION OF THE VERSE, “ALLAH OBLITERATES RIBA … “ OF THE QURAN. AS A RESULT, THE SEARCH IS ON FOR A PARADIGM SHIFT TOWARDS A LESS VOLATILE AND MORE RESILIENT FINANCING REGIME. THE PAPER PROPOSES RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCING AS SUITABLE ALTERNATIVE AND ALSO DEMONSTRATES EMPIRICALLY ITS BETTER GROWTH AND STABILITY CHARACTERISTICS BY USING ADVANCED DYNAMIC HETEROGENEOUS PANEL TECHNIQUES.

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APA: Copy

Shaukat, Mughees, & Alhabshi, Datuk Othman. (2015). ON THE GROWTH AND STABILITY OF RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCE. ANNUAL ISLAMIC BANKING CONFERENCE. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/920306/en

Vancouver: Copy

Shaukat Mughees, Alhabshi Datuk Othman. ON THE GROWTH AND STABILITY OF RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCE. 2015. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/920306/en

IEEE: Copy

Mughees Shaukat, and Datuk Othman Alhabshi, “ON THE GROWTH AND STABILITY OF RISK SHARING BASED ISLAMIC FINANCE,” presented at the ANNUAL ISLAMIC BANKING CONFERENCE. 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/920306/en

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