DEVELOPING AN OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION RISK BASED WATER ALLOCATION MODEL USING CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVAR), CASE STUDY: ZAYANDEHROOD IRRIGATION NETWORKS

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DELAVAR M.; MORID S.; MOGHADASI M.

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Paper Information

Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2014 | Volume:10 | Issue:1 (29) Page(s): 1-14

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Title

DEVELOPING AN OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION RISK BASED WATER ALLOCATION MODEL USING CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVAR), CASE STUDY: ZAYANDEHROOD IRRIGATION NETWORKS

Author(s)

DELAVAR M. | MORID S. | MOGHADASI M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

OPTIMIZATIONQ2

CONCLITIONAL VALUE AT RISKQ2

LOSSQ2

ZAYANDEHROODQ2

Abstract

Uncertainties and errors in water resources management decision making could result in the serious social and economical consequences. This can be caused by various factors such as price yield and iflow prediction that the latter usually has more complications, In this research it was attempted to present a water resources allocation algorithm under the uncertainty conditions using the concept of conditional value at risk (CVaR). In this regard' an OPTIMIZATION-simulation model considering water quality and quantity was developed which is able to calculate the optimal amount of water allocation in irrigation networks considering crops and their growing stages with minimal risk that resulting from uncertanties inflow prediction. In this study the information of ZAYANDEHROOD irrigation networks during 1983-2008 were used for assessment of this presented procedure. The results showed that using CVaR as a probabilistic concepti in water allocation model can determine both the system risk in time horizon and the optimal water allocation considering the minimal LOSS and the risk caused by uncertainty and also determine the good probabilistic decision space for users to make realistic decisions.

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APA: Copy

DELAVAR, M., MORID, S., & MOGHADASI, M.. (2014). DEVELOPING AN OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION RISK BASED WATER ALLOCATION MODEL USING CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVAR), CASE STUDY: ZAYANDEHROOD IRRIGATION NETWORKS. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 10(1 (29)), 1-14. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99904/en

Vancouver: Copy

DELAVAR M., MORID S., MOGHADASI M.. DEVELOPING AN OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION RISK BASED WATER ALLOCATION MODEL USING CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVAR), CASE STUDY: ZAYANDEHROOD IRRIGATION NETWORKS. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2014;10(1 (29)):1-14. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99904/en

IEEE: Copy

M. DELAVAR, S. MORID, and M. MOGHADASI, “DEVELOPING AN OPTIMIZATION-SIMULATION RISK BASED WATER ALLOCATION MODEL USING CONDITIONAL VALUE AT RISK (CVAR), CASE STUDY: ZAYANDEHROOD IRRIGATION NETWORKS,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 10, no. 1 (29), pp. 1–14, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99904/en

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