INVESTIGATION OF AOGCM MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EMISSION SCENARIOS OF GREENHOUSE GASES IMPACT ON THE BASIN RUNOFF UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, CASE STUDY GHARANGHU BASIN, EAST AZERBAIJAN

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

ASHOFTEH P.S.; MASSAH A.R.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2012 | Volume:8 | Issue:2 (24) Page(s): 36-47

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

1,402

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

INVESTIGATION OF AOGCM MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EMISSION SCENARIOS OF GREENHOUSE GASES IMPACT ON THE BASIN RUNOFF UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, CASE STUDY GHARANGHU BASIN, EAST AZERBAIJAN

Author(s)

ASHOFTEH P.S. | MASSAH A.R. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CLIMATE CHANGEQ2

UNCERTAINTYQ2

EMISSION SCENARIOQ3

MONTE CARLOQ2

RUNOFFQ2

GHARANGHU BASINQ3

Abstract

This research was aimed to investigate the changes of RUNOFF considering the UNCERTAINTY of AOGCM models and EMISSION SCENARIOs that may occur due to CLIMATE CHANGE in the period of 2010-2039 (2020s). First, the monthly temperature and precipitation data of AOGCM models (models of TAR reports) were provided for the baseline period (1971-2000) and the future period (2010-2039) under the SRES EMISSION SCENARIOs, namely A2 and B2. Then, these data were spatially and temporally downscaled to GHARANGHU BASIN by proportional and change factor methods. Results showed that the temperature increased and the precipitation decreased in the future compared to the baseline period. The monthly probability distribution function of the temperature and the precipitation in the period of 2020s was constructed using weighting method; comparing observed and modeled temperature and precipitation. A semi- conceptual model (IHACRES) was calibrated for simulation of the monthly RUNOFF of the basin. Using the MONTE CARLO approach, 2000 samples of temperature and precipitation were generated by the probability distribution functions and were introduced to IHACRES. Finally 30-year time series of monthly RUNOFF were simulated in 2020s. The results were compared to the baseline result which indicated that the CLIMATE CHANGE will affect the RUNOFF in the basin.

Cites

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

ASHOFTEH, P.S., & MASSAH, A.R.. (2012). INVESTIGATION OF AOGCM MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EMISSION SCENARIOS OF GREENHOUSE GASES IMPACT ON THE BASIN RUNOFF UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, CASE STUDY GHARANGHU BASIN, EAST AZERBAIJAN. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 8(2 (24)), 36-47. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99973/en

Vancouver: Copy

ASHOFTEH P.S., MASSAH A.R.. INVESTIGATION OF AOGCM MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EMISSION SCENARIOS OF GREENHOUSE GASES IMPACT ON THE BASIN RUNOFF UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, CASE STUDY GHARANGHU BASIN, EAST AZERBAIJAN. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2012;8(2 (24)):36-47. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99973/en

IEEE: Copy

P.S. ASHOFTEH, and A.R. MASSAH, “INVESTIGATION OF AOGCM MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND EMISSION SCENARIOS OF GREENHOUSE GASES IMPACT ON THE BASIN RUNOFF UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, CASE STUDY GHARANGHU BASIN, EAST AZERBAIJAN,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 8, no. 2 (24), pp. 36–47, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99973/en

Related Journal Papers