Hazard Rate of Iranian’, s Corridors in Transit

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Ganji Zahrei Hadi

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Road Quarterly Year:2023 | Volume:4 (20) | Issue:113 Page(s): 157-166

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Hazard Rate of Iranian’, s Corridors in Transit

Author(s)

Ganji Zahrei Hadi

Keywords

Transit

Market Size

Logit Model

Gravity Model

Abstract

Using quantitative models can be a good tool for planning or evaluation. In this regard, given the multifaceted Transit (economic, social, political, transportation), estimating the Market Size and the share of Iran's corridors is the starting point for planning. In this paper, initially, the Transit potential is estimated. For prediction, it is applied the Gravity Model. It is based on examining the trade trends between the economic blocs in the region and beyond. In the next step, implemented the Logit Model, for estimating Iran's share of the Transit market. The results show that current Transit demand is 92 million tones, which is expected to reach 118 million tones based on economic assumptions. Travel time through Iran's corridors without the China-Turkmenistan block is potentially reduced by up to 70%. The likelihood of TurkeyTurkmenistan, India-Ukraine, India-Caucasian economic blocks being attracted to Iran Corridors is 75%, Turkey-India, Turkey-UAE, China-Ukraine, India-Russia 73% and attracting trade between China-Turkmenistan countries and Russia-UAE is estimated at 20%.

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Cite

APA: Copy

Ganji Zahrei, Hadi. (2023). Hazard Rate of Iranian’, s Corridors in Transit. ROAD, 4 (20)(113 ), 157-166. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/1042475/en

Vancouver: Copy

Ganji Zahrei Hadi. Hazard Rate of Iranian’, s Corridors in Transit. ROAD[Internet]. 2023;4 (20)(113 ):157-166. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/1042475/en

IEEE: Copy

Hadi Ganji Zahrei, “Hazard Rate of Iranian’, s Corridors in Transit,” ROAD, vol. 4 (20), no. 113 , pp. 157–166, 2023, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/1042475/en

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