Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and Caucasus: Iran’s Position in the Future of Regional Balance

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Hajzargarbashi Seyed Rohollah; Shokri Morteza

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Political Strategic Studies Year:2022 | Volume:11 | Issue:41 Page(s): 123-144

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and Caucasus: Iran’s Position in the Future of Regional Balance

Author(s)

Hajzargarbashi Seyed Rohollah | Shokri Morteza | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Central Asia

Caucasus

geopolitics

Trend Analysis and the Great Game

Abstract

New dynamics of power are emerging in the of Central Asia and the Caucasus region after the collapse of the Soviet Union which can be analyzed under the new power game conception. unlike the traditional great game, in this game many global and regional powers are competing. rise of Turkey and shaping smooth regional alliances, increasing economic investments by GCC countries and Israel in the region, as well as uncertainties about the future of the Iran-Russia-China axis, has created a new configuration of power game between regional and trans-regional powers. This article tries to analyze the geopolitical consequences for Iran in the future by identifying the megatrends of power dynamics in the Central Asia and Caucasus region. the question is that, what place will Iran have in the future of the geopolitical equations of the Central Asian region and the Caucasus? The hypothesis is that the continuation of regional security dynamics will lead to the decline of Iran's regional position. the method used in the article was based on trend analysis.

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