Investigating the Relationship between Central Bank Independence and Government Budget Deficit in Iran

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Fayazi Mohamad Taghi

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Journal Paper

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Journal: Journal of Economic Studies and Policies Year:2024 | Volume:11 | Issue:1 Page(s): 319-344

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Title

Investigating the Relationship between Central Bank Independence and Government Budget Deficit in Iran

Author(s)

Fayazi Mohamad Taghi | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

central bank independence

Budget Deficit

ARDL model

Iran

Abstract

The government Budget Deficit in Iran has destructive effects on the economy due to the monetization of the deficit and the resulting increase in the monetary base, leading to higher inflation. This inflation reduces purchasing power and has other negative impacts on the economy. Controlling the government Budget Deficit has been a focus for experts and appears to be a priority for governments. Identifying ways to reduce and control the Budget Deficit can significantly enhance economic stability. This study examines the effect of central bank independence on the government Budget Deficit from 1991 to 2022, using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The findings show that central bank independence has an inverse and significant effect on the government's Budget Deficit. The policy recommendation from this research is to recognize the independence of the Central Bank of Iran and implement measures to increase its political and legal independence, governance, and transparency in monetary policy and accountability.

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