THE IMPACT OF OIL INCOME VOLATILITY ON IRAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH EMPHASIS ON EXCHANGE RESERVATION ACCOUNT

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SALMANI BEHZAD; BEHBUDI DAVOOD; ASGHARPOUR HOSSEIN; MAMIPOUR SIAB

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Journal: Macroeconomic Research Letter Year:2013 | Volume:7 | Issue:14 Page(s): 103-128

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Information Journal Paper

Title

THE IMPACT OF OIL INCOME VOLATILITY ON IRAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH EMPHASIS ON EXCHANGE RESERVATION ACCOUNT

Author(s)

SALMANI BEHZAD | BEHBUDI DAVOOD | ASGHARPOUR HOSSEIN | MAMIPOUR SIAB | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

NATURAL RESOURCEQ2

VOLATILITYQ3

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

STATE – SPACEQ2

Abstract

The optimal use of oil as a NATURAL RESOURCE is an important problem in exporting countries. These countries always are encountered with two challenges which are uncertainty and VOLATILITY of oil revenues and exhaustible oil resource. The main purpose of this paper is studying of oil prices VOLATILITY effect on ECONOMIC GROWTH in during 1981-2007. Then we implicitly try to evaluate the role of reserve exchange account for controlling oil price shocks. To do it, first, the VOLATILITY of oil prices is estimated by ARCH and GARCH methods, and then its effect on the Iran's ECONOMIC GROWTH is estimated by using state-space method. Findings show that the VOLATILITY of oil prices has a negative effect on ECONOMIC GROWTH and the reserve exchange account completely cannot control the VOLATILITY of oil prices.

Cites

THE EFFECT OF TRADE INSTABILITY ON GROWTH OF AGRICULTURE SUB-SECTORS IN IRAN

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APA: Copy

SALMANI, BEHZAD, BEHBUDI, DAVOOD, ASGHARPOUR, HOSSEIN, & MAMIPOUR, SIAB. (2013). THE IMPACT OF OIL INCOME VOLATILITY ON IRAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH EMPHASIS ON EXCHANGE RESERVATION ACCOUNT. JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS SCIENCES), 7(14), 103-128. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/150919/en

Vancouver: Copy

SALMANI BEHZAD, BEHBUDI DAVOOD, ASGHARPOUR HOSSEIN, MAMIPOUR SIAB. THE IMPACT OF OIL INCOME VOLATILITY ON IRAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH EMPHASIS ON EXCHANGE RESERVATION ACCOUNT. JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS SCIENCES)[Internet]. 2013;7(14):103-128. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/150919/en

IEEE: Copy

BEHZAD SALMANI, DAVOOD BEHBUDI, HOSSEIN ASGHARPOUR, and SIAB MAMIPOUR, “THE IMPACT OF OIL INCOME VOLATILITY ON IRAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH EMPHASIS ON EXCHANGE RESERVATION ACCOUNT,” JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS SCIENCES), vol. 7, no. 14, pp. 103–128, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/150919/en

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