Studying the Effect of Government Expenditure Shock on Economic Growth in Iran and MENA Selected Countries through Estimation of Government Expenditure Multiplier

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HOSSEINPUR MAHNAZ; HOZHABR KIANI KAMBIZ; ZANDI FATEMEH; DEHGHANI ALI; Saeedi Khalil

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Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH Year:2020 | Volume:10 | Issue:37 Page(s): 87-110

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Title

Studying the Effect of Government Expenditure Shock on Economic Growth in Iran and MENA Selected Countries through Estimation of Government Expenditure Multiplier

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Keywords

Government Expenditure ShockQ1

Economic GrowthQ2

Fiscal MultiplierQ1

Abstract

In this paper, firstly, the impact of government expenditure on Economic Growth in Iran (1980-2016) and MENA countries (2000-2016) is investigated using VAR and PVAR models. Further, the government expenditure multiplier are calculated and compared comparatively using the impulse response functions of each model. At the end, the effect of each factor is investigated determining the government expenditure multiplier in separate models for Iran and selected countries of the MENA for a better analysis and a closer investigation of the subject. According to the literature, results indicate that: Firstly, the shock of government expenditure in MENA selected countries and Iran, together, led to a relatively strong increase in Economic Growth. Secondly, in developing countries such as the countries of MENA region, especially in Iran, government-expenditure multipliers were smaller than one and close to zero. The government expenditure multiplier in MENA selected countries is more than Iran in short-term, but in the long run, the government expenditure mulitiplier, in Iran is larger than MENA selected countries. Thirdly, trade openness, public debt, and savings rate both in MENA and in Iran reduce the government expenditure multiplier, but unemployment and financial development increase the multiplier. Public debt has the most impact on the Iranian government expenditure multiplier and trade openness has the most impact in MENA expenditure multiplier.

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APA: Copy

HOSSEINPUR, MAHNAZ, HOZHABR KIANI, KAMBIZ, ZANDI, FATEMEH, DEHGHANI, ALI, & Saeedi, Khalil. (2020). Studying the Effect of Government Expenditure Shock on Economic Growth in Iran and MENA Selected Countries through Estimation of Government Expenditure Multiplier. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 10(37 ), 87-110. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192077/en

Vancouver: Copy

HOSSEINPUR MAHNAZ, HOZHABR KIANI KAMBIZ, ZANDI FATEMEH, DEHGHANI ALI, Saeedi Khalil. Studying the Effect of Government Expenditure Shock on Economic Growth in Iran and MENA Selected Countries through Estimation of Government Expenditure Multiplier. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2020;10(37 ):87-110. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192077/en

IEEE: Copy

MAHNAZ HOSSEINPUR, KAMBIZ HOZHABR KIANI, FATEMEH ZANDI, ALI DEHGHANI, and Khalil Saeedi, “Studying the Effect of Government Expenditure Shock on Economic Growth in Iran and MENA Selected Countries through Estimation of Government Expenditure Multiplier,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 10, no. 37 , pp. 87–110, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192077/en

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