ESTIMATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN NON-OIL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH THE QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE STRENGTHENING OF INPUTS; MS-VAR APPROACH

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MAHDILOO ALI; ASGHARPOUR HOSEIN; BARGHI OSKOOEI MOHAMMAD MEHDI

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Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH Year:2017 | Volume:7 | Issue:28 Page(s): 17-32

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Title

ESTIMATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN NON-OIL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH THE QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE STRENGTHENING OF INPUTS; MS-VAR APPROACH

Author(s)

MAHDILOO ALI | ASGHARPOUR HOSEIN | BARGHI OSKOOEI MOHAMMAD MEHDI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

NONLINEAR CAUSALITYQ1

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICESQ1

ZIVOT AND ANDREWS TESTQ1

MARKOV SWITCHING MODELQ2

Abstract

There are two major views on the subject of the relationship between the development of non-oil exports and ECONOMIC GROWTH. In first opinion, non-oil exports leads to ECONOMIC GROWTH through the increase in quality of inputs. In second opinion, ECONOMIC GROWTH will increase non-oil exports through quantitative strengthening of inputs. In non-linear models there are the ability to calculate relationship between variables and causal variables in different regimes. For this reason non-linear causality models can have better results than linear causality models. For this purpose in this study a MARKOV SWITCHING MODEL is used to investigate nonlinear causal relationship between ECONOMIC GROWTH and non-oil export in the years 1973-2013. The results indicate that in first regime (high growth) and second regime (low ECONOMIC GROWTH), there is no causality between exports and ECONOMIC GROWTH. The reason is lack of sufficient attention to production of other economic sectors during the oil boom. As a result, it causes the weakening of production, reduction of domestic production and international competitive power and finally reduction of the share of EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES in ECONOMIC GROWTH.

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APA: Copy

MAHDILOO, ALI, ASGHARPOUR, HOSEIN, & BARGHI OSKOOEI, MOHAMMAD MEHDI. (2017). ESTIMATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN NON-OIL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH THE QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE STRENGTHENING OF INPUTS; MS-VAR APPROACH. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 7(28 ), 17-32. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192094/en

Vancouver: Copy

MAHDILOO ALI, ASGHARPOUR HOSEIN, BARGHI OSKOOEI MOHAMMAD MEHDI. ESTIMATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN NON-OIL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH THE QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE STRENGTHENING OF INPUTS; MS-VAR APPROACH. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2017;7(28 ):17-32. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192094/en

IEEE: Copy

ALI MAHDILOO, HOSEIN ASGHARPOUR, and MOHAMMAD MEHDI BARGHI OSKOOEI, “ESTIMATED INTERACTIONS BETWEEN NON-OIL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH THROUGH THE QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE STRENGTHENING OF INPUTS; MS-VAR APPROACH,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 7, no. 28 , pp. 17–32, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192094/en

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