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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in the Iranian Economy: The State-Space Models

Pages

  79-92

Abstract

 Macro-economic relationship between fiscal policy and Economic Growth has long been considered by economists. In this study to evaluate the more accurate effect of the government's fiscal policy in the economy, using quarterly data for the years 1988 to 2016, a factoraugmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model with time varying parameter model (TVP) in Iran's economy has been modeling. The variables of GDP growth, investment growth, inflation, exchange rates, the growth of private consumption expenditure and latent variable of government fiscal policies are used in model. Based on results the effects of fiscal policy on Economic Growth in the whole period is positive and investment increased the rate of Economic Growth. Also the additive positive effects of fiscal policy on the unofficial exchange rate has increased over time. In addition, the effect of fiscal policy on inflation is positive, so that the additive effect in economic prosperity period is more. Finally, the effect of fiscal policy on private sector spending is negative. Results of this study show changes in relationships between variables over time and also indicate that economic conditions of the country affects the impacts of independent variables.

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  • Cite

    APA: Copy

    Khodaei, Mehdi, JAFARI, MOHAMMAD, & FATTAHI, SHAHRAM. (2018). The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in the Iranian Economy: The State-Space Models. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 8(31 ), 79-92. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192204/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    Khodaei Mehdi, JAFARI MOHAMMAD, FATTAHI SHAHRAM. The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in the Iranian Economy: The State-Space Models. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;8(31 ):79-92. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192204/en

    IEEE: Copy

    Mehdi Khodaei, MOHAMMAD JAFARI, and SHAHRAM FATTAHI, “The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth in the Iranian Economy: The State-Space Models,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 8, no. 31 , pp. 79–92, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192204/en

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