INVESTIGATION AND FORECASTING OF THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE INCREASE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS OF IRAN (1976-2014)

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GHAFFARI HADI; JALOULI MEHDI; CHANGI ASHTIANI ALI

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Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH Year:2013 | Volume:3 | Issue:10 Page(s): 41-58

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Title

INVESTIGATION AND FORECASTING OF THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE INCREASE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS OF IRAN (1976-2014)

Author(s)

GHAFFARI HADI | JALOULI MEHDI | CHANGI ASHTIANI ALI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

EXCHANGE RATEQ2

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORSQ2

Abstract

International sanctions against Iran have been lead to an increase in demand of foreign exchange and ultimately cause an increase in EXCHANGE RATE. In this study, we aim to investigate and forecast the consequences of EXCHANGE RATE increase on ECONOMIC GROWTH of MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS of Iran during 1976-2014. For this purpose, we used a short scale macro-econometric model which has been estimated by the new co-integration approach. The results show that an increase in EXCHANGE RATE will reduce the production of all economic sectors. Also, the growth rate of all economic sectors will be reduced to its minimum and then will increase. Also, we have come to the conclusion that the production of oil & gas sector will be reduced more than the other sectors.

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APA: Copy

GHAFFARI, HADI, JALOULI, MEHDI, & CHANGI ASHTIANI, ALI. (2013). INVESTIGATION AND FORECASTING OF THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE INCREASE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS OF IRAN (1976-2014). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 3(10), 41-58. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192221/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHAFFARI HADI, JALOULI MEHDI, CHANGI ASHTIANI ALI. INVESTIGATION AND FORECASTING OF THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE INCREASE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS OF IRAN (1976-2014). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2013;3(10):41-58. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192221/en

IEEE: Copy

HADI GHAFFARI, MEHDI JALOULI, and ALI CHANGI ASHTIANI, “INVESTIGATION AND FORECASTING OF THE EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE INCREASE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MAJOR ECONOMIC SECTORS OF IRAN (1976-2014),” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 3, no. 10, pp. 41–58, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192221/en

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