ESTIMATING PRICE AND PRODUCTION ELASTICITIES OF NATURAL GAS IN THE MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIES OF IRAN

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Shirani Fakhr Zohreh

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Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC MODELING RESEARCH Year:2018 | Volume:8 | Issue:30 Page(s): 169-218

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Title

ESTIMATING PRICE AND PRODUCTION ELASTICITIES OF NATURAL GAS IN THE MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIES OF IRAN

Author(s)

Shirani Fakhr Zohreh | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DEMAND FOR ENERGYQ2

MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIESQ1

INDUSTRIAL SECTORQ2

STRUCTURAL TIME SERIES MODELQ2

UNDERLING ENERGY DEMAND TRENDQ1

STATE SPACE MODELQ1

Abstract

In this study, we estimate the demand for natural gas in the subsection manufacture of basic metals of Iran using STRUCTURAL TIME SERIES MODEL (STSM) over the period of time 1981-2013. Such model contains unobservable elements which have been transported to STATE SPACE MODEL with the use of kalman filter and is estimated by implementing maximum likelihood approach. Also, because the Targeting of Subsidies Plan was approved by the Iranian parliament at the end of 2010, so we evaluate the role of this plan on energy demand of industrial subsectors. Finding of the research is that, first of all the nature of the trend is smooth one. Secondly, it is changing on a nonlinear basis. The estimated demand function shows that price elasticity for natural gas in the long and short run, correspondingly, are (-0.30) and (-0.79) and production elasticities of natural gas in the short and long run, correspondingly, are (0.17) and (0.38). Furthermore, Cross elasticity for electricity and gasoline in the long and short run, correspondingly, are substitute and complementary goods. In addition, the result of evaluating effect of the Targeting of Subsidies Plan show that estimated natural gas demand functions can explain the impact of this policy.

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APA: Copy

Shirani Fakhr, Zohreh. (2018). ESTIMATING PRICE AND PRODUCTION ELASTICITIES OF NATURAL GAS IN THE MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIES OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC MODELING RESEARCH, 8(30 ), 169-218. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/208860/en

Vancouver: Copy

Shirani Fakhr Zohreh. ESTIMATING PRICE AND PRODUCTION ELASTICITIES OF NATURAL GAS IN THE MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIES OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC MODELING RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;8(30 ):169-218. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/208860/en

IEEE: Copy

Zohreh Shirani Fakhr, “ESTIMATING PRICE AND PRODUCTION ELASTICITIES OF NATURAL GAS IN THE MANUFACTURE OF BASIC METALS INDUSTRIES OF IRAN,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC MODELING RESEARCH, vol. 8, no. 30 , pp. 169–218, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/208860/en

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