PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OIL AND ITS MACRO-EFFECT ON IRANIAN ECONOMY (1988-2005)

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EBRAHIMI MOHSEN; ZARRINI EBRAHIM; HAJI MIRZAEI SEYYED MOHMMAD ALI

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Journal: Journal of Economic Studies and Policies Year:2010 | Volume:6 (16) | Issue:1 (78) Page(s): 89-106

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Title

PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OIL AND ITS MACRO-EFFECT ON IRANIAN ECONOMY (1988-2005)

Author(s)

EBRAHIMI MOHSEN | ZARRINI EBRAHIM | HAJI MIRZAEI SEYYED MOHMMAD ALI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OILQ2

MACRO-ECONOMIC VARIABLESQ2

VECTOR-AUTOREGRESSIVE METHODQ2

GOVERNMENT EXPENDITUREQ3

DUTCH DISEASEQ3

Abstract

In this study we have reviewed the changes in oil price and its macro-effect on Iranian Economy, by vector-autoregressive (VAR) method with seasonal data for oil price and other variables in the above period. The result from the model of estimation and also interpretation of impulse response (IRFs) and variance decomposition (FEVDs), shows that there is a meaningful relation between oil and other variables. The GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE and money supply is highly affected by oil, and positive shock of oil price will weakens the tradable sectors and strengthens non-tradable sectors in the economy. Also, through price increase of consumable imported goods and the increased cost of foreign input will positively and continuously affect the consumer price index. Due to dependency of internal production to import, the economy will face inflation which is caused by external factors.

Cites

ASYMMETRIC EFFECTS OF OIL PRICE SHOCK ON THE STOCK PRICE INDEX: COMPARISON OF BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL IN IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION

References

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APA: Copy

EBRAHIMI, MOHSEN, ZARRINI, EBRAHIM, & HAJI MIRZAEI, SEYYED MOHMMAD ALI. (2010). PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OIL AND ITS MACRO-EFFECT ON IRANIAN ECONOMY (1988-2005). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, 6 (16)(1 (78)), 89-106. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/219061/en

Vancouver: Copy

EBRAHIMI MOHSEN, ZARRINI EBRAHIM, HAJI MIRZAEI SEYYED MOHMMAD ALI. PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OIL AND ITS MACRO-EFFECT ON IRANIAN ECONOMY (1988-2005). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES[Internet]. 2010;6 (16)(1 (78)):89-106. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/219061/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN EBRAHIMI, EBRAHIM ZARRINI, and SEYYED MOHMMAD ALI HAJI MIRZAEI, “PRICE FLUCTUATION OF OIL AND ITS MACRO-EFFECT ON IRANIAN ECONOMY (1988-2005),” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, vol. 6 (16), no. 1 (78), pp. 89–106, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/219061/en

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