THE NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF OIL REVENUES ON INFLATION IN OPEC COUNTRIES USING THE THRESHOLD APPROACH

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MEHRARA MOHSEN; BAYAT SAEED

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Journal: Journal of Economic Studies and Policies Year:2010 | Volume:6 (16) | Issue:1 (78) Page(s): 107-124

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Title

THE NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF OIL REVENUES ON INFLATION IN OPEC COUNTRIES USING THE THRESHOLD APPROACH

Author(s)

MEHRARA MOHSEN | BAYAT SAEED | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

OIL REVENUEQ2

OPECQ2

THRESHOLD ERROR CORRECTION MODELQ2

Abstract

OIL REVENUEs constitute the major part of export revenues in OPEC countries. In regard to this fact that prices in oil markets have been very so swinging in the past four decades, identifying manner and severity of affecting OIL REVENUEs on inflation for economic policy making is very important. Topic of this paper is" The nonlinear effects of OIL REVENUEs on inflation in OPEC countries". We have used panel data during the 1983-2006 for OPEC countries in the research. The way which is applied for estimation is "Threshold error correction model". Estimations show that the OIL REVENUE increase is significantly inflationary, and when OIL REVENUE increase is upper than 45 percent threshold level, its effect on inflation will be more severe. This result confirms the main hypothesis of this research which asserts that relation between inflation and OIL REVENUEs is positive and nonlinear.

Cites

APPLICATION OF OPTIMAL CONTROL AND GENETIC ALGORITHMS IN TARGETING INFLATION COMMENSURATE WITH ECONOMIC GROWTH IN 4TH PLAN

References

تاثیر عوامل پولی و ارزی بر تورم در ایران طی سالهای 1374-1353

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APA: Copy

MEHRARA, MOHSEN, & BAYAT, SAEED. (2010). THE NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF OIL REVENUES ON INFLATION IN OPEC COUNTRIES USING THE THRESHOLD APPROACH. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, 6 (16)(1 (78)), 107-124. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/219066/en

Vancouver: Copy

MEHRARA MOHSEN, BAYAT SAEED. THE NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF OIL REVENUES ON INFLATION IN OPEC COUNTRIES USING THE THRESHOLD APPROACH. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES[Internet]. 2010;6 (16)(1 (78)):107-124. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/219066/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN MEHRARA, and SAEED BAYAT, “THE NON-LINEAR EFFECTS OF OIL REVENUES ON INFLATION IN OPEC COUNTRIES USING THE THRESHOLD APPROACH,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, vol. 6 (16), no. 1 (78), pp. 107–124, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/219066/en

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