SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT IN REALIZABILITY TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT (CASE STUDY: KHORASAN-E-RAZAVI)

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MOUSAVI MIR NAJAF; GHADERI REZA; TAGHILOO ALI AKBAR; KAHAKI FATEMEH SADAT

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Journal: TOWN AND COUNTRY PLANNING Year:2018 | Volume:10 | Issue:1 Page(s): 65-91

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Information Journal Paper

Title

SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT IN REALIZABILITY TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT (CASE STUDY: KHORASAN-E-RAZAVI)

Author(s)

MOUSAVI MIR NAJAF | GHADERI REZA | TAGHILOO ALI AKBAR | KAHAKI FATEMEH SADAT | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FUTURE STUDIESQ2

SCENARIO WRITINGQ1

TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENTQ2

KHORASAN-E-RAZAVIQ1

Abstract

FUTURE STUDIES in Territorial planning focus on finding key factors, drivers and uncertainties in the development of regions in the planning space. This is in the way that the planner can map and manage a desirable future by having them as a control lever. The purpose of this study is to identify the effective factors on the planning of Khorasan-e- Razavi province, to identify the key variables of the province's development and finally to develop effective scenarios for the province's planning. The research process is practical in terms of purpose, and the research method is descriptive-analytic. The nature of the data is qualitative. The data are collected through survey and from documents and records. Data analysis is based on futures research techniques including environmental scanning, structural analysis, and cross-impact analysis. The results of the research show that among the developed scenarios, province planning will face 22 strong adaptive scenarios, 2740 weak adaptive scenarios, and 1837 inconsistent scenarios, in the future. Of the 22 possible scenarios, eight scenarios have a favorable status, two scenarios have interstitial status, and 12 scenarios are in an unfavorable situation. Between the favorable scenarios, Scenario 1 is the best and the most likely scenario ahead of the province and all of its possible probabilities are quite desirable.

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APA: Copy

MOUSAVI, MIR NAJAF, GHADERI, REZA, TAGHILOO, ALI AKBAR, & KAHAKI, FATEMEH SADAT. (2018). SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT IN REALIZABILITY TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT (CASE STUDY: KHORASAN-E-RAZAVI). TOWN AND COUNTRY PLANNING, 10(1 ), 65-91. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/219592/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOUSAVI MIR NAJAF, GHADERI REZA, TAGHILOO ALI AKBAR, KAHAKI FATEMEH SADAT. SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT IN REALIZABILITY TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT (CASE STUDY: KHORASAN-E-RAZAVI). TOWN AND COUNTRY PLANNING[Internet]. 2018;10(1 ):65-91. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/219592/en

IEEE: Copy

MIR NAJAF MOUSAVI, REZA GHADERI, ALI AKBAR TAGHILOO, and FATEMEH SADAT KAHAKI, “SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT IN REALIZABILITY TERRITORIAL SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT (CASE STUDY: KHORASAN-E-RAZAVI),” TOWN AND COUNTRY PLANNING, vol. 10, no. 1 , pp. 65–91, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/219592/en

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