STUDY THE INFLUENTIAL FACTORS ON TOURISM: COMPLEX OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS METHODS

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FALIHI NEMAT; JAFARZADEH BEHROOZ

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Journal: Financial Economics Year:2011 | Volume:5 | Issue:14 Page(s): 51-88

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Information Journal Paper

Title

STUDY THE INFLUENTIAL FACTORS ON TOURISM: COMPLEX OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS METHODS

Author(s)

FALIHI NEMAT | JAFARZADEH BEHROOZ | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TOURISM INDUSTRYQ2

FACTORS AFFECTING TOURISMQ2

HERITAGE INDEXQ2

PANEL DATAQ2

SYSTEM DYNAMICQ2

Abstract

Tourism as a high profitable phenomenon, mid spread the relevancies technology, has so station in modern world that named TOURISM INDUSTRY. This industry bears multiple significance for countries like Iran that thought out of the mono-output situation and one which in fact is the single-polarized. The purpose of this study is cognizance the effective factors on tourism and also forecasting the future of this industry. The period of study in this study is 1995 to 2008 and also simulation time is considered to 2025. For this purposes utilize the PANEL DATA and SYSTEM DYNAMICs methods. Research results show the positive relationship between the tourism and the per capita income and the HERITAGE INDEX. Also in this study defined four scenarios for survey the effect of changes in variables such as exchange rate, consumer price index, HERITAGE INDEX and per capita income on tourism. Finally this study using the SYSTEM DYNAMICs method to forecast the future of tourism, that results show the shares of Asia and Pacific from TOURISM INDUSTRY wills growth from 26 percent in 2008 to 39 percent in 2025.

Cites

OCCURRENCES OF POLITICAL–SOCIAL CRISES AND ITS EFFECT ON TOURISM REVENUE: THE CASE STUDY: IRAN, TURKEY & EGYPT

References

IDENTIFICATION AND ESTIMATION OF IRAN"S TOURISM DEMAND FUNCTION (WITH CROSS SECTION AND TIME SERIES DATAS)

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APA: Copy

FALIHI, NEMAT, & JAFARZADEH, BEHROOZ. (2011). STUDY THE INFLUENTIAL FACTORS ON TOURISM: COMPLEX OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS METHODS. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 5(14), 51-88. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229036/en

Vancouver: Copy

FALIHI NEMAT, JAFARZADEH BEHROOZ. STUDY THE INFLUENTIAL FACTORS ON TOURISM: COMPLEX OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS METHODS. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2011;5(14):51-88. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229036/en

IEEE: Copy

NEMAT FALIHI, and BEHROOZ JAFARZADEH, “STUDY THE INFLUENTIAL FACTORS ON TOURISM: COMPLEX OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS METHODS,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 5, no. 14, pp. 51–88, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229036/en

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