FUTURES STUDY OF IRAN’ S CYBERSPACE SERVICES TRENDS IN THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESS OF GLOBALIZATION, USING DELPHI METHOD

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TAVALLAEI ROUHOLLAH

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Journal: STRATEGIC STUDIES OF PUBLIC POLICY (STRATEGIC STUDIES OF GLOBALIZATION JOURNAL) Year:2015 | Volume:5 | Issue:14 (17) Page(s): 92-123

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Title

FUTURES STUDY OF IRAN’ S CYBERSPACE SERVICES TRENDS IN THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESS OF GLOBALIZATION, USING DELPHI METHOD

Author(s)

TAVALLAEI ROUHOLLAH | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGYQ2

CYBERSPACEQ1

SERVICESQ1

FUTURES STUDYQ1

DELPHI METHODQ2

Abstract

This research aims at studying future trends in INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY and communications through FUTURES STUDY and CYBERSPACE SERVICES presentable in Iran in its technological globalization process. To this end, through library research and documentary studies, effective trends in the future of CYBERSPACE SERVICES were identified which include: 1. Upstream documents, 2. Establishing Iran’ s national center for CYBERSPACE, 3. Cultural and social changes in the use of internet, 4. Development of technological infrastructure and modern information and communication tools, 5. E-literacy expansion, 6. Facilitating usage and applicability of CYBERSPACE SERVICES, 7. Relatively low cost of CYBERSPACE SERVICES. Employing DELPHI METHOD of futures studies, probable future of CYBERSPACE SERVICES was defined within the frameworks of absolute future, parallel future, complementary future, and shadow future. Based on the results obtained from the analysis of 18 experts of the field and consensus view of the elites considering the surrounding trends regarding probable futures, parallel presentation of CYBERSPACE SERVICES in the next 10 years with the score of 87. 66 was regarded as the first priority. Furthermore, the optimal future of CYBERSPACE SERVICES in Iran was decided by % 92. 65 of the elites as offering parallel CYBERSPACE SERVICES in the country. According to this FUTURES STUDY, it is recommended that decision making organizations such as the National Center for CYBERSPACE and Ministry of Communications and INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY take note of the above points in their scenarios and planning priorities.

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APA: Copy

TAVALLAEI, ROUHOLLAH. (2015). FUTURES STUDY OF IRAN’ S CYBERSPACE SERVICES TRENDS IN THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESS OF GLOBALIZATION, USING DELPHI METHOD. STRATEGIC STUDIES OF PUBLIC POLICY (STRATEGIC STUDIES OF GLOBALIZATION JOURNAL), 5(14 (17) ), 92-123. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229919/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAVALLAEI ROUHOLLAH. FUTURES STUDY OF IRAN’ S CYBERSPACE SERVICES TRENDS IN THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESS OF GLOBALIZATION, USING DELPHI METHOD. STRATEGIC STUDIES OF PUBLIC POLICY (STRATEGIC STUDIES OF GLOBALIZATION JOURNAL)[Internet]. 2015;5(14 (17) ):92-123. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229919/en

IEEE: Copy

ROUHOLLAH TAVALLAEI, “ FUTURES STUDY OF IRAN’ S CYBERSPACE SERVICES TRENDS IN THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESS OF GLOBALIZATION, USING DELPHI METHOD,” STRATEGIC STUDIES OF PUBLIC POLICY (STRATEGIC STUDIES OF GLOBALIZATION JOURNAL), vol. 5, no. 14 (17) , pp. 92–123, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229919/en

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