5G penetration rate forecast in Iran

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Kooshki Zahra; Joda Roghayeh; Dindoost Mohammad; Mohseni Ghazale

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Journal: INNOVATION MANAGEMENT JOURNAL Year:2019 | Volume:8 | Issue:1 Page(s): 133-156

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Information Journal Paper

Title

5G penetration rate forecast in Iran

Author(s)

Kooshki Zahra | Joda Roghayeh | Dindoost Mohammad | Mohseni Ghazale | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

5G fifth generation communication networkQ1

penetration rateQ1

Pareto methodQ1

Gompertz methodQ1

Abstract

In this paper, various analytical methods of 5G technology penetration rate is investigated and then 5G penetration rate is calculated for Iran based on Pareto method. The 5G technology penetration rate is important to predict the time and the way to migrate to the 5G network. It is assumed that the 5G technology penetration rate in the first year of the launch based on the Pareto method depends on the 4G penetration rate in the same year. The 5G technology penetration rate in Iran in the first year of the launch is predicted to be about 0. 95% based on the Pareto method. The number of 5G unique subscribers in the years after the launch is also forecasted from the number of 4G technology unique subscribers which is predicated by the Gompertz method. The best time for the widespread investment of the operator in the 5G is 2025. It is also estimated that the best time to replace 5G technology with 4G is 2029.

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APA: Copy

Kooshki, Zahra, Joda, Roghayeh, Dindoost, Mohammad, & Mohseni, Ghazale. (2019). 5G penetration rate forecast in Iran. INNOVATION MANAGEMENT JOURNAL, 8(1 ), 133-156. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/241485/en

Vancouver: Copy

Kooshki Zahra, Joda Roghayeh, Dindoost Mohammad, Mohseni Ghazale. 5G penetration rate forecast in Iran. INNOVATION MANAGEMENT JOURNAL[Internet]. 2019;8(1 ):133-156. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/241485/en

IEEE: Copy

Zahra Kooshki, Roghayeh Joda, Mohammad Dindoost, and Ghazale Mohseni, “5G penetration rate forecast in Iran,” INNOVATION MANAGEMENT JOURNAL, vol. 8, no. 1 , pp. 133–156, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/241485/en

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