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Information Journal Paper

Title

Heterogeneous Effect of Unemployment on Crime in Iran: Hierarchical Panel Bayesian-Poisson Approach

Pages

  137-158

Abstract

 Many empirical studies have analyzed the relationship between economic and social behavior. Unemployment is considered as a phenomenon which is not desirable. The effect of unemployment on crime, may have heterogeneous impact on distinct regions (province or country). The technical approach in econometric literature indicates that, due to high integration of economic and social activities, the independency assumption-in this study, provinces-in the sample cannot be accepted, especially if the sample is small. In order to show the difference of crime effect on unemployment rate in various provinces, the random coefficients Panel Bayesian Conjugate Poisson model (Hierarchical) is used. To do this, the data of five provinces of Iran are used during the period of 2009-2014 to demonstrate such Heterogeneous Effects. Results show that for an increase in unemployment, there is a positive and varying effects on crime in the provinces for which the data were collected. In other words, in this study, for a %1 increase in unemployment, the greatest impact is in Tehran and the lowest is in Semnan province.

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    APA: Copy

    MAKIYAN, SEYED NEZAMUDDIN, ROSTAMI, MOJTABA, FARHADI, DAVOOD, & zabol, mohammad amin. (2018). Heterogeneous Effect of Unemployment on Crime in Iran: Hierarchical Panel Bayesian-Poisson Approach. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 23(76 ), 137-158. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/2540/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    MAKIYAN SEYED NEZAMUDDIN, ROSTAMI MOJTABA, FARHADI DAVOOD, zabol mohammad amin. Heterogeneous Effect of Unemployment on Crime in Iran: Hierarchical Panel Bayesian-Poisson Approach. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;23(76 ):137-158. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/2540/en

    IEEE: Copy

    SEYED NEZAMUDDIN MAKIYAN, MOJTABA ROSTAMI, DAVOOD FARHADI, and mohammad amin zabol, “Heterogeneous Effect of Unemployment on Crime in Iran: Hierarchical Panel Bayesian-Poisson Approach,” IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. 23, no. 76 , pp. 137–158, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/2540/en

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